Rebecca Bennett’s decisive victory in the June 2 Democratic primary for New Jersey’s 7th congressional district has sharpened trader focus on the November general election matchup against incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting its even partisan balance and history of narrow margins. Kean’s extended absence from Congress due to an unspecified medical condition has introduced uncertainty about his campaign strength and fundraising capacity heading into the fall. Polling conducted before and after the primary shows Bennett competitive or ahead in head-to-head tests, supporting the current market consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee the clear lead in implied probability. No major new developments have emerged in the past week to alter this positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNJ-07 House Election Winner
NJ-07 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
75%
Republican Party
17%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$466 Wol.
75%
Republican Party
$3,727 Wol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett’s decisive victory in the June 2 Democratic primary for New Jersey’s 7th congressional district has sharpened trader focus on the November general election matchup against incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting its even partisan balance and history of narrow margins. Kean’s extended absence from Congress due to an unspecified medical condition has introduced uncertainty about his campaign strength and fundraising capacity heading into the fall. Polling conducted before and after the primary shows Bennett competitive or ahead in head-to-head tests, supporting the current market consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee the clear lead in implied probability. No major new developments have emerged in the past week to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,193Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett’s decisive victory in the June 2 Democratic primary for New Jersey’s 7th congressional district has sharpened trader focus on the November general election matchup against incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting its even partisan balance and history of narrow margins. Kean’s extended absence from Congress due to an unspecified medical condition has introduced uncertainty about his campaign strength and fundraising capacity heading into the fall. Polling conducted before and after the primary shows Bennett competitive or ahead in head-to-head tests, supporting the current market consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee the clear lead in implied probability. No major new developments have emerged in the past week to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$4,193Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rebecca Bennett’s decisive victory in the June 2 Democratic primary for New Jersey’s 7th congressional district has sharpened trader focus on the November general election matchup against incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting its even partisan balance and history of narrow margins. Kean’s extended absence from Congress due to an unspecified medical condition has introduced uncertainty about his campaign strength and fundraising capacity heading into the fall. Polling conducted before and after the primary shows Bennett competitive or ahead in head-to-head tests, supporting the current market consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee the clear lead in implied probability. No major new developments have emerged in the past week to alter this positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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