Washington’s 5th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in eastern Washington, anchored by Spokane and surrounding rural counties with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner secured the top spot in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, advancing to the November general alongside a Democratic opponent. Recent Tavern Research polling from late May shows Baumgartner ahead of leading Democratic challengers by 6 points in head-to-head matchups, consistent with the district’s historical voting patterns and Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. No major late developments have altered the baseline, leaving the Republican nominee as the clear front-runner in trader assessments while Democratic prospects remain limited by the district’s underlying composition and turnout dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWA-05 House Election Winner
WA-05 House Election Winner
$32,063 Wol.
$32,063 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
67%
Democratic Party
34%
$32,063 Wol.
$32,063 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$12,041 Wol.
67%
Democratic Party
$20,022 Wol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 5th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in eastern Washington, anchored by Spokane and surrounding rural counties with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner secured the top spot in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, advancing to the November general alongside a Democratic opponent. Recent Tavern Research polling from late May shows Baumgartner ahead of leading Democratic challengers by 6 points in head-to-head matchups, consistent with the district’s historical voting patterns and Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. No major late developments have altered the baseline, leaving the Republican nominee as the clear front-runner in trader assessments while Democratic prospects remain limited by the district’s underlying composition and turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,063Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 5th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in eastern Washington, anchored by Spokane and surrounding rural counties with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner secured the top spot in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, advancing to the November general alongside a Democratic opponent. Recent Tavern Research polling from late May shows Baumgartner ahead of leading Democratic challengers by 6 points in head-to-head matchups, consistent with the district’s historical voting patterns and Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. No major late developments have altered the baseline, leaving the Republican nominee as the clear front-runner in trader assessments while Democratic prospects remain limited by the district’s underlying composition and turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$32,063Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 5th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in eastern Washington, anchored by Spokane and surrounding rural counties with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner secured the top spot in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, advancing to the November general alongside a Democratic opponent. Recent Tavern Research polling from late May shows Baumgartner ahead of leading Democratic challengers by 6 points in head-to-head matchups, consistent with the district’s historical voting patterns and Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. No major late developments have altered the baseline, leaving the Republican nominee as the clear front-runner in trader assessments while Democratic prospects remain limited by the district’s underlying composition and turnout dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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