The open WA-04 House seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Dan Newhouse in December 2025, drives trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 82%, reflecting the district's R+10 partisan voting index and historical GOP margins exceeding 50% in recent cycles, as rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. A crowded Republican primary field—including state Sen. Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, and Jerrod Sessler—bolsters party strength ahead of the August 4 top-two primary, while Democrats field weaker challengers like John Duresky. Recent surges in outside spending and ad buys signal early competitiveness, yet fundamentals favor Republicans barring a standout Democratic recruit or primary turmoil. The general election follows November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWA-04 House Election Winner
WA-04 House Election Winner
$23,963 Wol.
$23,963 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
15%
$23,963 Wol.
$23,963 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,492 Wol.
82%
Democratic Party
$12,470 Wol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WA-04 House seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Dan Newhouse in December 2025, drives trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 82%, reflecting the district's R+10 partisan voting index and historical GOP margins exceeding 50% in recent cycles, as rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. A crowded Republican primary field—including state Sen. Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, and Jerrod Sessler—bolsters party strength ahead of the August 4 top-two primary, while Democrats field weaker challengers like John Duresky. Recent surges in outside spending and ad buys signal early competitiveness, yet fundamentals favor Republicans barring a standout Democratic recruit or primary turmoil. The general election follows November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,963Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WA-04 House seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Dan Newhouse in December 2025, drives trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 82%, reflecting the district's R+10 partisan voting index and historical GOP margins exceeding 50% in recent cycles, as rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. A crowded Republican primary field—including state Sen. Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, and Jerrod Sessler—bolsters party strength ahead of the August 4 top-two primary, while Democrats field weaker challengers like John Duresky. Recent surges in outside spending and ad buys signal early competitiveness, yet fundamentals favor Republicans barring a standout Democratic recruit or primary turmoil. The general election follows November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$23,963Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open WA-04 House seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Dan Newhouse in December 2025, drives trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 82%, reflecting the district's R+10 partisan voting index and historical GOP margins exceeding 50% in recent cycles, as rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. A crowded Republican primary field—including state Sen. Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, and Jerrod Sessler—bolsters party strength ahead of the August 4 top-two primary, while Democrats field weaker challengers like John Duresky. Recent surges in outside spending and ad buys signal early competitiveness, yet fundamentals favor Republicans barring a standout Democratic recruit or primary turmoil. The general election follows November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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