Rick Larsen’s commanding position in the WA-02 race stems from his two-decade incumbency, strong primary performance advancing him alongside Republican Edwin Feller, and consistent Democratic lean in the district, where Kamala Harris carried it by 8.5 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Larsen’s fundraising edge, role as ranking member on the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, and recent U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement. Feller, an 83-year-old first-time candidate, lacks comparable visibility or institutional support in a district that has reelected Larsen comfortably in prior cycles. Trader consensus around 96% for Larsen aligns with these structural advantages. A realistic shift would require a major late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment within the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWA-02 House Election Winner
WA-02 House Election Winner
$32,272 Wol.
$32,272 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Larsen (D)
97%
Edwin Feller (R)
1%
$32,272 Wol.
$32,272 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Larsen (D)
$13,157 Wol.
97%
Edwin Feller (R)
$19,115 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Larsen’s commanding position in the WA-02 race stems from his two-decade incumbency, strong primary performance advancing him alongside Republican Edwin Feller, and consistent Democratic lean in the district, where Kamala Harris carried it by 8.5 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Larsen’s fundraising edge, role as ranking member on the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, and recent U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement. Feller, an 83-year-old first-time candidate, lacks comparable visibility or institutional support in a district that has reelected Larsen comfortably in prior cycles. Trader consensus around 96% for Larsen aligns with these structural advantages. A realistic shift would require a major late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment within the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,272Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Larsen’s commanding position in the WA-02 race stems from his two-decade incumbency, strong primary performance advancing him alongside Republican Edwin Feller, and consistent Democratic lean in the district, where Kamala Harris carried it by 8.5 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Larsen’s fundraising edge, role as ranking member on the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, and recent U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement. Feller, an 83-year-old first-time candidate, lacks comparable visibility or institutional support in a district that has reelected Larsen comfortably in prior cycles. Trader consensus around 96% for Larsen aligns with these structural advantages. A realistic shift would require a major late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment within the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$32,272Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Rick Larsen’s commanding position in the WA-02 race stems from his two-decade incumbency, strong primary performance advancing him alongside Republican Edwin Feller, and consistent Democratic lean in the district, where Kamala Harris carried it by 8.5 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Larsen’s fundraising edge, role as ranking member on the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, and recent U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement. Feller, an 83-year-old first-time candidate, lacks comparable visibility or institutional support in a district that has reelected Larsen comfortably in prior cycles. Trader consensus around 96% for Larsen aligns with these structural advantages. A realistic shift would require a major late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment within the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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