Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s long tenure and the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid D rating and partisan voting index, anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Smith advanced comfortably from the August 4 top-two primary against a crowded field, while Republican Doug Basler also moved forward but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Limited high-profile opposition and the absence of recent polling shifts or major scandals have kept Republican odds at 5.5%. A realistic change would require late redistricting, an unforeseen national realignment, or a serious development involving the incumbent before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWA-09 House Election Winner
WA-09 House Election Winner
$28,307 Wol.
$28,307 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$28,307 Wol.
$28,307 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,751 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$17,556 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s long tenure and the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid D rating and partisan voting index, anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Smith advanced comfortably from the August 4 top-two primary against a crowded field, while Republican Doug Basler also moved forward but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Limited high-profile opposition and the absence of recent polling shifts or major scandals have kept Republican odds at 5.5%. A realistic change would require late redistricting, an unforeseen national realignment, or a serious development involving the incumbent before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$28,307Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s long tenure and the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid D rating and partisan voting index, anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Smith advanced comfortably from the August 4 top-two primary against a crowded field, while Republican Doug Basler also moved forward but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Limited high-profile opposition and the absence of recent polling shifts or major scandals have kept Republican odds at 5.5%. A realistic change would require late redistricting, an unforeseen national realignment, or a serious development involving the incumbent before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$28,307Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s long tenure and the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid D rating and partisan voting index, anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Smith advanced comfortably from the August 4 top-two primary against a crowded field, while Republican Doug Basler also moved forward but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Limited high-profile opposition and the absence of recent polling shifts or major scandals have kept Republican odds at 5.5%. A realistic change would require late redistricting, an unforeseen national realignment, or a serious development involving the incumbent before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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