The Supreme Court’s April 2026 ruling striking down Louisiana’s majority-Black congressional district as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander has prompted Republican-led state lawmakers to redraw boundaries ahead of the November 3, 2026 election. The revised map is widely viewed as converting the seat from a Democratic stronghold—held by incumbent Cleo Fields since his 2024 victory—into a Republican-leaning district. Multiple Republicans have already qualified to challenge Fields in the primary, while no comparable Democratic challengers have emerged. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83 percent probability of winning the seat, reflecting the structural shift from redistricting and the absence of offsetting developments that would restore Democratic competitiveness.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLA-06 House Election Winner
LA-06 House Election Winner
$58,169 Wol.
$58,169 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
$58,169 Wol.
$58,169 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$31,586 Wol.
83%
Democratic Party
$26,583 Wol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Supreme Court’s April 2026 ruling striking down Louisiana’s majority-Black congressional district as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander has prompted Republican-led state lawmakers to redraw boundaries ahead of the November 3, 2026 election. The revised map is widely viewed as converting the seat from a Democratic stronghold—held by incumbent Cleo Fields since his 2024 victory—into a Republican-leaning district. Multiple Republicans have already qualified to challenge Fields in the primary, while no comparable Democratic challengers have emerged. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83 percent probability of winning the seat, reflecting the structural shift from redistricting and the absence of offsetting developments that would restore Democratic competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$58,169Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Supreme Court’s April 2026 ruling striking down Louisiana’s majority-Black congressional district as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander has prompted Republican-led state lawmakers to redraw boundaries ahead of the November 3, 2026 election. The revised map is widely viewed as converting the seat from a Democratic stronghold—held by incumbent Cleo Fields since his 2024 victory—into a Republican-leaning district. Multiple Republicans have already qualified to challenge Fields in the primary, while no comparable Democratic challengers have emerged. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83 percent probability of winning the seat, reflecting the structural shift from redistricting and the absence of offsetting developments that would restore Democratic competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$58,169Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Supreme Court’s April 2026 ruling striking down Louisiana’s majority-Black congressional district as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander has prompted Republican-led state lawmakers to redraw boundaries ahead of the November 3, 2026 election. The revised map is widely viewed as converting the seat from a Democratic stronghold—held by incumbent Cleo Fields since his 2024 victory—into a Republican-leaning district. Multiple Republicans have already qualified to challenge Fields in the primary, while no comparable Democratic challengers have emerged. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83 percent probability of winning the seat, reflecting the structural shift from redistricting and the absence of offsetting developments that would restore Democratic competitiveness.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania