Louisiana's 6th congressional district shifted to a strongly Republican-leaning seat after the state legislature enacted a new map in May 2026 following the Supreme Court's ruling in Louisiana v. Callais. The revised boundaries, anchored in the Baton Rouge area with higher Republican registration and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16, produced a district where Donald Trump carried 65% of the vote in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the new lines, leaving an open seat. Multiple Republican state legislators, including well-funded candidates Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds, entered the November 3 jungle primary against a smaller Democratic field. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the redistricting and candidate dynamics create a durable structural edge. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unexpected primary fragmentation could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLA-06 House Election Winner
LA-06 House Election Winner
$65,492 Wol.
$65,492 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
8%
$65,492 Wol.
$65,492 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$36,074 Wol.
94%
Democratic Party
$29,418 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th congressional district shifted to a strongly Republican-leaning seat after the state legislature enacted a new map in May 2026 following the Supreme Court's ruling in Louisiana v. Callais. The revised boundaries, anchored in the Baton Rouge area with higher Republican registration and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16, produced a district where Donald Trump carried 65% of the vote in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the new lines, leaving an open seat. Multiple Republican state legislators, including well-funded candidates Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds, entered the November 3 jungle primary against a smaller Democratic field. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the redistricting and candidate dynamics create a durable structural edge. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unexpected primary fragmentation could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$65,492Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th congressional district shifted to a strongly Republican-leaning seat after the state legislature enacted a new map in May 2026 following the Supreme Court's ruling in Louisiana v. Callais. The revised boundaries, anchored in the Baton Rouge area with higher Republican registration and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16, produced a district where Donald Trump carried 65% of the vote in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the new lines, leaving an open seat. Multiple Republican state legislators, including well-funded candidates Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds, entered the November 3 jungle primary against a smaller Democratic field. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the redistricting and candidate dynamics create a durable structural edge. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unexpected primary fragmentation could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$65,492Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 6th congressional district shifted to a strongly Republican-leaning seat after the state legislature enacted a new map in May 2026 following the Supreme Court's ruling in Louisiana v. Callais. The revised boundaries, anchored in the Baton Rouge area with higher Republican registration and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16, produced a district where Donald Trump carried 65% of the vote in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the new lines, leaving an open seat. Multiple Republican state legislators, including well-funded candidates Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds, entered the November 3 jungle primary against a smaller Democratic field. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the redistricting and candidate dynamics create a durable structural edge. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unexpected primary fragmentation could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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