Democratic incumbent Troy Carter faces only intra-party opposition from Renada Collins in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, with no Republican candidates qualifying for the November 2026 primary under the state's majority-vote system. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus around a 93% implied probability for the Democratic Party. Recent redistricting litigation resolved by the Supreme Court in April 2026 left the district's core boundaries and voter composition largely intact. A Republican victory would require an unexpected late entrant, a major shift in local turnout patterns, or unforeseen primary dynamics that have not materialized in filings or campaign activity to date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLA-02 House Election Winner
LA-02 House Election Winner
$43,558 Wol.
$43,558 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$43,558 Wol.
$43,558 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$23,422 Wol.
93%
Republican Party
$20,136 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Troy Carter faces only intra-party opposition from Renada Collins in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, with no Republican candidates qualifying for the November 2026 primary under the state's majority-vote system. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus around a 93% implied probability for the Democratic Party. Recent redistricting litigation resolved by the Supreme Court in April 2026 left the district's core boundaries and voter composition largely intact. A Republican victory would require an unexpected late entrant, a major shift in local turnout patterns, or unforeseen primary dynamics that have not materialized in filings or campaign activity to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$43,558Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Troy Carter faces only intra-party opposition from Renada Collins in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, with no Republican candidates qualifying for the November 2026 primary under the state's majority-vote system. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus around a 93% implied probability for the Democratic Party. Recent redistricting litigation resolved by the Supreme Court in April 2026 left the district's core boundaries and voter composition largely intact. A Republican victory would require an unexpected late entrant, a major shift in local turnout patterns, or unforeseen primary dynamics that have not materialized in filings or campaign activity to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$43,558Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Troy Carter faces only intra-party opposition from Renada Collins in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, with no Republican candidates qualifying for the November 2026 primary under the state's majority-vote system. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus around a 93% implied probability for the Democratic Party. Recent redistricting litigation resolved by the Supreme Court in April 2026 left the district's core boundaries and voter composition largely intact. A Republican victory would require an unexpected late entrant, a major shift in local turnout patterns, or unforeseen primary dynamics that have not materialized in filings or campaign activity to date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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