Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a long-standing Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index, urban and suburban voter base across the Hampton Roads region, and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Democratic primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and limited independent candidates, with all nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Scott's 70 percent performance in 2024, combined with substantial fundraising and the absence of competitive polling or Republican resources, underpins trader consensus near 96 percent for the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major candidate health issue or scandal, or a national partisan swing far exceeding historical midterm patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoVA-03 House Election Winner
VA-03 House Election Winner
$63,200 Wol.
$63,200 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$63,200 Wol.
$63,200 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,571 Wol.
96%
Republican Party
$41,630 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a long-standing Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index, urban and suburban voter base across the Hampton Roads region, and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Democratic primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and limited independent candidates, with all nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Scott's 70 percent performance in 2024, combined with substantial fundraising and the absence of competitive polling or Republican resources, underpins trader consensus near 96 percent for the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major candidate health issue or scandal, or a national partisan swing far exceeding historical midterm patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$63,200Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a long-standing Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index, urban and suburban voter base across the Hampton Roads region, and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Democratic primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and limited independent candidates, with all nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Scott's 70 percent performance in 2024, combined with substantial fundraising and the absence of competitive polling or Republican resources, underpins trader consensus near 96 percent for the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major candidate health issue or scandal, or a national partisan swing far exceeding historical midterm patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$63,200Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a long-standing Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index, urban and suburban voter base across the Hampton Roads region, and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Democratic primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and limited independent candidates, with all nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Scott's 70 percent performance in 2024, combined with substantial fundraising and the absence of competitive polling or Republican resources, underpins trader consensus near 96 percent for the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major candidate health issue or scandal, or a national partisan swing far exceeding historical midterm patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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