Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democratic challenger Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026, with the race rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Garbarino won reelection in 2024 by nearly 20 points in a district that has moved rightward in recent cycles, reflected in its Republican-leaning partisan voting index. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing Halpin to advance without opposition, while Garbarino secured his party’s nomination. Trader consensus at 73.5% for Republicans versus 27% for Democrats aligns with the district’s structural advantages for the incumbent and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape ahead of the general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-02 House Election Winner
NY-02 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
27%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,829 Wol.
74%
Democratic Party
$5,936 Wol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democratic challenger Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026, with the race rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Garbarino won reelection in 2024 by nearly 20 points in a district that has moved rightward in recent cycles, reflected in its Republican-leaning partisan voting index. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing Halpin to advance without opposition, while Garbarino secured his party’s nomination. Trader consensus at 73.5% for Republicans versus 27% for Democrats aligns with the district’s structural advantages for the incumbent and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,764Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democratic challenger Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026, with the race rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Garbarino won reelection in 2024 by nearly 20 points in a district that has moved rightward in recent cycles, reflected in its Republican-leaning partisan voting index. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing Halpin to advance without opposition, while Garbarino secured his party’s nomination. Trader consensus at 73.5% for Republicans versus 27% for Democrats aligns with the district’s structural advantages for the incumbent and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$8,764Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democratic challenger Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026, with the race rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Garbarino won reelection in 2024 by nearly 20 points in a district that has moved rightward in recent cycles, reflected in its Republican-leaning partisan voting index. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing Halpin to advance without opposition, while Garbarino secured his party’s nomination. Trader consensus at 73.5% for Republicans versus 27% for Democrats aligns with the district’s structural advantages for the incumbent and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape ahead of the general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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