Arizona's 3rd congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent nonpartisan ratings of solid or safe Democratic. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari, who won the seat in 2024 with roughly 71 percent of the vote, is seeking re-election and faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the July 2026 contest. The district's urban and majority-Latino composition in western Phoenix and downtown areas has produced reliable Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican performance in the general election or an unexpected primary outcome, neither of which has materialized in recent polling or fundraising data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-03 House Election Winner
AZ-03 House Election Winner
$14,714 Wol.
$14,714 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$14,714 Wol.
$14,714 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,121 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$5,594 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent nonpartisan ratings of solid or safe Democratic. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari, who won the seat in 2024 with roughly 71 percent of the vote, is seeking re-election and faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the July 2026 contest. The district's urban and majority-Latino composition in western Phoenix and downtown areas has produced reliable Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican performance in the general election or an unexpected primary outcome, neither of which has materialized in recent polling or fundraising data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$14,714Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent nonpartisan ratings of solid or safe Democratic. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari, who won the seat in 2024 with roughly 71 percent of the vote, is seeking re-election and faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the July 2026 contest. The district's urban and majority-Latino composition in western Phoenix and downtown areas has produced reliable Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican performance in the general election or an unexpected primary outcome, neither of which has materialized in recent polling or fundraising data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$14,714Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent nonpartisan ratings of solid or safe Democratic. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari, who won the seat in 2024 with roughly 71 percent of the vote, is seeking re-election and faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the July 2026 contest. The district's urban and majority-Latino composition in western Phoenix and downtown areas has produced reliable Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican performance in the general election or an unexpected primary outcome, neither of which has materialized in recent polling or fundraising data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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