Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a consistent polling edge over Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Likely Republican by major forecasters with an R+7 Partisan Voter Index. Recent surveys from August 2026 show Crane leading by margins of 2 to 11 points, producing a polling average of roughly 49% to 42%. Crane benefits from incumbency after winning the 2024 rematch by nine points in a district Trump carried by about 15 points, along with stronger cash-on-hand and alignment with the district’s rural and military-voting blocs. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, maintains competitiveness through strength with Native American and independent voters but confronts structural headwinds in a midterm environment where national trends and turnout patterns favor the incumbent party’s nominee. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-02 House Election Winner
AZ-02 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
68%
Democratic Party
29%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,012 Wol.
68%
Democratic Party
$1,417 Wol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a consistent polling edge over Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Likely Republican by major forecasters with an R+7 Partisan Voter Index. Recent surveys from August 2026 show Crane leading by margins of 2 to 11 points, producing a polling average of roughly 49% to 42%. Crane benefits from incumbency after winning the 2024 rematch by nine points in a district Trump carried by about 15 points, along with stronger cash-on-hand and alignment with the district’s rural and military-voting blocs. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, maintains competitiveness through strength with Native American and independent voters but confronts structural headwinds in a midterm environment where national trends and turnout patterns favor the incumbent party’s nominee. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,429Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a consistent polling edge over Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Likely Republican by major forecasters with an R+7 Partisan Voter Index. Recent surveys from August 2026 show Crane leading by margins of 2 to 11 points, producing a polling average of roughly 49% to 42%. Crane benefits from incumbency after winning the 2024 rematch by nine points in a district Trump carried by about 15 points, along with stronger cash-on-hand and alignment with the district’s rural and military-voting blocs. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, maintains competitiveness through strength with Native American and independent voters but confronts structural headwinds in a midterm environment where national trends and turnout patterns favor the incumbent party’s nominee. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$3,429Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a consistent polling edge over Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Likely Republican by major forecasters with an R+7 Partisan Voter Index. Recent surveys from August 2026 show Crane leading by margins of 2 to 11 points, producing a polling average of roughly 49% to 42%. Crane benefits from incumbency after winning the 2024 rematch by nine points in a district Trump carried by about 15 points, along with stronger cash-on-hand and alignment with the district’s rural and military-voting blocs. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, maintains competitiveness through strength with Native American and independent voters but confronts structural headwinds in a midterm environment where national trends and turnout patterns favor the incumbent party’s nominee. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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