Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voting Index and the party’s consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created an open House race, drawing a crowded field of eleven Republican primary candidates ahead of the June 16 contest. The lone Democratic filer advanced automatically after the party’s primary was canceled. With the general election scheduled for November 3, traders assign an 87 percent probability to the Republican nominee prevailing, consistent with the district’s voting history and the absence of a viable Democratic challenger capable of overcoming the structural partisan advantage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOK-01 House Election Winner
OK-01 House Election Winner
$11,853 Wol.
$11,853 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
$11,853 Wol.
$11,853 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,313 Wol.
87%
Democratic Party
$5,540 Wol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voting Index and the party’s consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created an open House race, drawing a crowded field of eleven Republican primary candidates ahead of the June 16 contest. The lone Democratic filer advanced automatically after the party’s primary was canceled. With the general election scheduled for November 3, traders assign an 87 percent probability to the Republican nominee prevailing, consistent with the district’s voting history and the absence of a viable Democratic challenger capable of overcoming the structural partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,853Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voting Index and the party’s consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created an open House race, drawing a crowded field of eleven Republican primary candidates ahead of the June 16 contest. The lone Democratic filer advanced automatically after the party’s primary was canceled. With the general election scheduled for November 3, traders assign an 87 percent probability to the Republican nominee prevailing, consistent with the district’s voting history and the absence of a viable Democratic challenger capable of overcoming the structural partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$11,853Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voting Index and the party’s consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created an open House race, drawing a crowded field of eleven Republican primary candidates ahead of the June 16 contest. The lone Democratic filer advanced automatically after the party’s primary was canceled. With the general election scheduled for November 3, traders assign an 87 percent probability to the Republican nominee prevailing, consistent with the district’s voting history and the absence of a viable Democratic challenger capable of overcoming the structural partisan advantage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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