Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in the Tulsa area, holds a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue the open U.S. Senate seat created an open race that drew a record 11 candidates into the June 16 Republican primary. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, and the 87 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee aligns with the district’s structural advantages and absence of competitive crossover dynamics heading into the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOK-01 House Election Winner
$11,853 Wol.
$11,853 Wol.
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
$11,853 Wol.
$11,853 Wol.
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in the Tulsa area, holds a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue the open U.S. Senate seat created an open race that drew a record 11 candidates into the June 16 Republican primary. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, and the 87 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee aligns with the district’s structural advantages and absence of competitive crossover dynamics heading into the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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