Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Mann secured renomination with 81% in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold's limited resources after her primary win. The large rural district's voting history and Mann's established incumbency reinforce trader consensus on his strong advantage heading into the November 3 general election. A significant late development such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the margin, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
$18,073 Wol.
$18,073 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Tracey Mann (R)
94%
Lauren Reinhold (D)
6%
$18,073 Wol.
$18,073 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Tracey Mann (R)
$6,237 Wol.
94%
Lauren Reinhold (D)
$11,837 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Mann secured renomination with 81% in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold's limited resources after her primary win. The large rural district's voting history and Mann's established incumbency reinforce trader consensus on his strong advantage heading into the November 3 general election. A significant late development such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the margin, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,073Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Mann secured renomination with 81% in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold's limited resources after her primary win. The large rural district's voting history and Mann's established incumbency reinforce trader consensus on his strong advantage heading into the November 3 general election. A significant late development such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the margin, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$18,073Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Mann secured renomination with 81% in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold's limited resources after her primary win. The large rural district's voting history and Mann's established incumbency reinforce trader consensus on his strong advantage heading into the November 3 general election. A significant late development such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the margin, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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