Arizona's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat anchored in the Phoenix metropolitan area, where the incumbent Democrat holds a substantial edge in fundraising, voter registration, and historical performance. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major redistricting shifts ahead of the 2026 midterms. No significant polling movements, candidate announcements, or national political developments have altered the balance in recent weeks, keeping the race outside the most contested battlegrounds. Scheduled primary filings and potential late-cycle events could still introduce variability before November 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-04 House Election Winner
AZ-04 House Election Winner
$25,119 Wol.
$25,119 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
9%
$25,119 Wol.
$25,119 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,870 Wol.
90%
Republican Party
$6,249 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat anchored in the Phoenix metropolitan area, where the incumbent Democrat holds a substantial edge in fundraising, voter registration, and historical performance. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major redistricting shifts ahead of the 2026 midterms. No significant polling movements, candidate announcements, or national political developments have altered the balance in recent weeks, keeping the race outside the most contested battlegrounds. Scheduled primary filings and potential late-cycle events could still introduce variability before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$25,119Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat anchored in the Phoenix metropolitan area, where the incumbent Democrat holds a substantial edge in fundraising, voter registration, and historical performance. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major redistricting shifts ahead of the 2026 midterms. No significant polling movements, candidate announcements, or national political developments have altered the balance in recent weeks, keeping the race outside the most contested battlegrounds. Scheduled primary filings and potential late-cycle events could still introduce variability before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$25,119Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat anchored in the Phoenix metropolitan area, where the incumbent Democrat holds a substantial edge in fundraising, voter registration, and historical performance. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major redistricting shifts ahead of the 2026 midterms. No significant polling movements, candidate announcements, or national political developments have altered the balance in recent weeks, keeping the race outside the most contested battlegrounds. Scheduled primary filings and potential late-cycle events could still introduce variability before November 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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