Incumbent Democrat Madeleine Dean holds a dominant position in Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District, a safe Democratic seat with a D+8 Partisan Voter Index where she won 59% in her last general election, driving trader consensus to 91% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Dean faces no opposition in the May 19 closed primary, bolstered by over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late March, while the Republican primary features only Aurora Stuski, who reports zero fundraising. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections remain Solid/Safe Democratic, unchanged in recent weeks. Though commanding, odds could shift via a late scandal, health issue for Dean, or national Republican midterm wave overwhelming the district's baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPA-04 House Election Winner
PA-04 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$0 Wol.
91%
Republican Party
$0 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Madeleine Dean holds a dominant position in Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District, a safe Democratic seat with a D+8 Partisan Voter Index where she won 59% in her last general election, driving trader consensus to 91% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Dean faces no opposition in the May 19 closed primary, bolstered by over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late March, while the Republican primary features only Aurora Stuski, who reports zero fundraising. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections remain Solid/Safe Democratic, unchanged in recent weeks. Though commanding, odds could shift via a late scandal, health issue for Dean, or national Republican midterm wave overwhelming the district's baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Madeleine Dean holds a dominant position in Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District, a safe Democratic seat with a D+8 Partisan Voter Index where she won 59% in her last general election, driving trader consensus to 91% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Dean faces no opposition in the May 19 closed primary, bolstered by over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late March, while the Republican primary features only Aurora Stuski, who reports zero fundraising. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections remain Solid/Safe Democratic, unchanged in recent weeks. Though commanding, odds could shift via a late scandal, health issue for Dean, or national Republican midterm wave overwhelming the district's baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Madeleine Dean holds a dominant position in Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District, a safe Democratic seat with a D+8 Partisan Voter Index where she won 59% in her last general election, driving trader consensus to 91% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Dean faces no opposition in the May 19 closed primary, bolstered by over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late March, while the Republican primary features only Aurora Stuski, who reports zero fundraising. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections remain Solid/Safe Democratic, unchanged in recent weeks. Though commanding, odds could shift via a late scandal, health issue for Dean, or national Republican midterm wave overwhelming the district's baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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