Longtime Republican incumbent Chris Smith, representing New Jersey's 4th district since 1981, anchors trader sentiment at 90.5% for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. The district's voter registration favors Republicans by a wide margin, and Smith secured 67% in 2024 with limited opposition. Democrat Rachel Peace, who won her June 2 primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat outside most national targeting lists. Recent primary results and candidate filings have produced no major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, Smith's withdrawal due to health, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment that boosts turnout among unaffiliated voters in Monmouth and Ocean counties.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNJ-04 House Election Winner
NJ-04 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$401 Wol.
91%
Democratic Party
$0 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Republican incumbent Chris Smith, representing New Jersey's 4th district since 1981, anchors trader sentiment at 90.5% for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. The district's voter registration favors Republicans by a wide margin, and Smith secured 67% in 2024 with limited opposition. Democrat Rachel Peace, who won her June 2 primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat outside most national targeting lists. Recent primary results and candidate filings have produced no major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, Smith's withdrawal due to health, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment that boosts turnout among unaffiliated voters in Monmouth and Ocean counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$401Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Republican incumbent Chris Smith, representing New Jersey's 4th district since 1981, anchors trader sentiment at 90.5% for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. The district's voter registration favors Republicans by a wide margin, and Smith secured 67% in 2024 with limited opposition. Democrat Rachel Peace, who won her June 2 primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat outside most national targeting lists. Recent primary results and candidate filings have produced no major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, Smith's withdrawal due to health, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment that boosts turnout among unaffiliated voters in Monmouth and Ocean counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$401Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Republican incumbent Chris Smith, representing New Jersey's 4th district since 1981, anchors trader sentiment at 90.5% for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. The district's voter registration favors Republicans by a wide margin, and Smith secured 67% in 2024 with limited opposition. Democrat Rachel Peace, who won her June 2 primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat outside most national targeting lists. Recent primary results and candidate filings have produced no major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, Smith's withdrawal due to health, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment that boosts turnout among unaffiliated voters in Monmouth and Ocean counties.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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