Florida's 14th congressional district race remains closely contested ahead of the November 2026 general election, with recent redistricting shifting the seat to a Republican-leaning profile under the new map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld in late May. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor benefits from established name recognition, fundraising, and primary positioning against challenger Juan Arauz, while Republican Mike Beltran’s May entry adds a credible general election contender backed by state party figures. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican, reflecting the map’s impact on the Tampa Bay area’s voter composition and the broader midterm environment. Primaries scheduled for August 18 and ongoing candidate recruitment keep the outcome fluid, with voter turnout and any late-cycle developments in the district likely to determine whether the Republican edge holds or narrows.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$20,977 Wol.
$20,977 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
55%
Democratic Party
48%
$20,977 Wol.
$20,977 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,821 Wol.
55%
Democratic Party
$9,156 Wol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th congressional district race remains closely contested ahead of the November 2026 general election, with recent redistricting shifting the seat to a Republican-leaning profile under the new map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld in late May. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor benefits from established name recognition, fundraising, and primary positioning against challenger Juan Arauz, while Republican Mike Beltran’s May entry adds a credible general election contender backed by state party figures. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican, reflecting the map’s impact on the Tampa Bay area’s voter composition and the broader midterm environment. Primaries scheduled for August 18 and ongoing candidate recruitment keep the outcome fluid, with voter turnout and any late-cycle developments in the district likely to determine whether the Republican edge holds or narrows.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Wolumen
$20,977Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th congressional district race remains closely contested ahead of the November 2026 general election, with recent redistricting shifting the seat to a Republican-leaning profile under the new map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld in late May. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor benefits from established name recognition, fundraising, and primary positioning against challenger Juan Arauz, while Republican Mike Beltran’s May entry adds a credible general election contender backed by state party figures. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican, reflecting the map’s impact on the Tampa Bay area’s voter composition and the broader midterm environment. Primaries scheduled for August 18 and ongoing candidate recruitment keep the outcome fluid, with voter turnout and any late-cycle developments in the district likely to determine whether the Republican edge holds or narrows.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$20,977Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 14th congressional district race remains closely contested ahead of the November 2026 general election, with recent redistricting shifting the seat to a Republican-leaning profile under the new map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld in late May. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor benefits from established name recognition, fundraising, and primary positioning against challenger Juan Arauz, while Republican Mike Beltran’s May entry adds a credible general election contender backed by state party figures. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican, reflecting the map’s impact on the Tampa Bay area’s voter composition and the broader midterm environment. Primaries scheduled for August 18 and ongoing candidate recruitment keep the outcome fluid, with voter turnout and any late-cycle developments in the district likely to determine whether the Republican edge holds or narrows.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania