Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor holds a polling edge over Republican nominee Mike Beltran in Florida’s 14th congressional district ahead of the November general election. Recent redistricting shifted boundaries to favor Republicans, with the district supporting Donald Trump by double digits in 2024, prompting the NRCC to target the seat and elevating it on forecasters’ lists. Castor’s long tenure, name recognition, and fundraising advantage have sustained her lead in available surveys, including a July St. Pete Polls result showing her ahead by eight points. Beltran secured the GOP nomination in the August primary after a crowded field. Varied ratings from toss-up to lean Republican or lean Democratic reflect the district’s altered partisan balance offset by midterm dynamics and the incumbent’s position.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$35,206 Wol.
$35,206 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
61%
Republican Party
36%
$35,206 Wol.
$35,206 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,316 Wol.
61%
Republican Party
$16,890 Wol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor holds a polling edge over Republican nominee Mike Beltran in Florida’s 14th congressional district ahead of the November general election. Recent redistricting shifted boundaries to favor Republicans, with the district supporting Donald Trump by double digits in 2024, prompting the NRCC to target the seat and elevating it on forecasters’ lists. Castor’s long tenure, name recognition, and fundraising advantage have sustained her lead in available surveys, including a July St. Pete Polls result showing her ahead by eight points. Beltran secured the GOP nomination in the August primary after a crowded field. Varied ratings from toss-up to lean Republican or lean Democratic reflect the district’s altered partisan balance offset by midterm dynamics and the incumbent’s position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Wolumen
$35,206Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor holds a polling edge over Republican nominee Mike Beltran in Florida’s 14th congressional district ahead of the November general election. Recent redistricting shifted boundaries to favor Republicans, with the district supporting Donald Trump by double digits in 2024, prompting the NRCC to target the seat and elevating it on forecasters’ lists. Castor’s long tenure, name recognition, and fundraising advantage have sustained her lead in available surveys, including a July St. Pete Polls result showing her ahead by eight points. Beltran secured the GOP nomination in the August primary after a crowded field. Varied ratings from toss-up to lean Republican or lean Democratic reflect the district’s altered partisan balance offset by midterm dynamics and the incumbent’s position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$35,206Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor holds a polling edge over Republican nominee Mike Beltran in Florida’s 14th congressional district ahead of the November general election. Recent redistricting shifted boundaries to favor Republicans, with the district supporting Donald Trump by double digits in 2024, prompting the NRCC to target the seat and elevating it on forecasters’ lists. Castor’s long tenure, name recognition, and fundraising advantage have sustained her lead in available surveys, including a July St. Pete Polls result showing her ahead by eight points. Beltran secured the GOP nomination in the August primary after a crowded field. Varied ratings from toss-up to lean Republican or lean Democratic reflect the district’s altered partisan balance offset by midterm dynamics and the incumbent’s position.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania