Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured the nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Callie Barr emerged from her primary to face him in the November general election. Michigan’s 1st district, encompassing the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, carries an R+11 partisan lean and has consistently supported Republican candidates, including Bergman’s 2024 reelection by nearly 20 points. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican based on voting history, fundraising, and the absence of major vulnerabilities for the incumbent. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a broad national Democratic surge or unforeseen late-cycle developments could narrow the margin without altering the likely outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMI-01 House Election Winner
MI-01 House Election Winner
$21,551 Wol.
$21,551 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$21,551 Wol.
$21,551 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,419 Wol.
92%
Democratic Party
$10,132 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured the nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Callie Barr emerged from her primary to face him in the November general election. Michigan’s 1st district, encompassing the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, carries an R+11 partisan lean and has consistently supported Republican candidates, including Bergman’s 2024 reelection by nearly 20 points. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican based on voting history, fundraising, and the absence of major vulnerabilities for the incumbent. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a broad national Democratic surge or unforeseen late-cycle developments could narrow the margin without altering the likely outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,551Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured the nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Callie Barr emerged from her primary to face him in the November general election. Michigan’s 1st district, encompassing the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, carries an R+11 partisan lean and has consistently supported Republican candidates, including Bergman’s 2024 reelection by nearly 20 points. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican based on voting history, fundraising, and the absence of major vulnerabilities for the incumbent. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a broad national Democratic surge or unforeseen late-cycle developments could narrow the margin without altering the likely outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$21,551Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured the nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Callie Barr emerged from her primary to face him in the November general election. Michigan’s 1st district, encompassing the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, carries an R+11 partisan lean and has consistently supported Republican candidates, including Bergman’s 2024 reelection by nearly 20 points. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican based on voting history, fundraising, and the absence of major vulnerabilities for the incumbent. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a broad national Democratic surge or unforeseen late-cycle developments could narrow the margin without altering the likely outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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