Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces minimal opposition in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a western and central Michigan seat with an R+15 partisan voting index that multiple forecasters rate Solid or Safe Republican. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose secured the opposing nomination after a competitive primary. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns and the incumbent’s established record on appropriations and agriculture issues sustain trader consensus near 98 percent for the Republican Party. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, serious health issue affecting the incumbent, or an exceptionally strong national Democratic midterm environment that overcomes the structural margin. The general election occurs November 3, 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMI-02 House Election Winner
MI-02 House Election Winner
$53,874 Wol.
$53,874 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
98%
Democratic Party
1%
$53,874 Wol.
$53,874 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,752 Wol.
98%
Democratic Party
$31,122 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces minimal opposition in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a western and central Michigan seat with an R+15 partisan voting index that multiple forecasters rate Solid or Safe Republican. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose secured the opposing nomination after a competitive primary. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns and the incumbent’s established record on appropriations and agriculture issues sustain trader consensus near 98 percent for the Republican Party. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, serious health issue affecting the incumbent, or an exceptionally strong national Democratic midterm environment that overcomes the structural margin. The general election occurs November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,874Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces minimal opposition in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a western and central Michigan seat with an R+15 partisan voting index that multiple forecasters rate Solid or Safe Republican. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose secured the opposing nomination after a competitive primary. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns and the incumbent’s established record on appropriations and agriculture issues sustain trader consensus near 98 percent for the Republican Party. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, serious health issue affecting the incumbent, or an exceptionally strong national Democratic midterm environment that overcomes the structural margin. The general election occurs November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$53,874Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces minimal opposition in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a western and central Michigan seat with an R+15 partisan voting index that multiple forecasters rate Solid or Safe Republican. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose secured the opposing nomination after a competitive primary. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns and the incumbent’s established record on appropriations and agriculture issues sustain trader consensus near 98 percent for the Republican Party. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, serious health issue affecting the incumbent, or an exceptionally strong national Democratic midterm environment that overcomes the structural margin. The general election occurs November 3, 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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