Michigan's 11th congressional district maintains a D+9 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential and House results, including the incumbent's 2024 reelection by a wide margin. With Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens retiring to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, the open seat features an August 4 Democratic primary among several candidates and a November 3 general election where no competitive Republican contenders have emerged. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the party's strong position. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican recruitment or significant national political shifts before the general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$56,263 Wol.
$56,263 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$56,263 Wol.
$56,263 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$44,045 Wol.
96%
Republican Party
$12,219 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district maintains a D+9 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential and House results, including the incumbent's 2024 reelection by a wide margin. With Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens retiring to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, the open seat features an August 4 Democratic primary among several candidates and a November 3 general election where no competitive Republican contenders have emerged. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the party's strong position. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican recruitment or significant national political shifts before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$56,263Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district maintains a D+9 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential and House results, including the incumbent's 2024 reelection by a wide margin. With Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens retiring to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, the open seat features an August 4 Democratic primary among several candidates and a November 3 general election where no competitive Republican contenders have emerged. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the party's strong position. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican recruitment or significant national political shifts before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$56,263Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district maintains a D+9 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential and House results, including the incumbent's 2024 reelection by a wide margin. With Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens retiring to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, the open seat features an August 4 Democratic primary among several candidates and a November 3 general election where no competitive Republican contenders have emerged. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the party's strong position. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican recruitment or significant national political shifts before the general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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