Incumbent Republican Bob Latta’s unopposed primary victory and two-decade House tenure anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in Ohio’s 5th congressional district. The seat’s R+12 partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 23.7-point 2024 margin and consistent double-digit GOP wins, aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Brian Shaver, who won a low-turnout May primary, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition typical of challengers in such districts. Historical base rates for similarly situated safe seats show minimal movement absent major scandals or national realignments. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, ethics controversy, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOH-05 House Election Winner
OH-05 House Election Winner
$49,740 Wol.
$49,740 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$49,740 Wol.
$49,740 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$40,443 Wol.
94%
Democratic Party
$9,297 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bob Latta’s unopposed primary victory and two-decade House tenure anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in Ohio’s 5th congressional district. The seat’s R+12 partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 23.7-point 2024 margin and consistent double-digit GOP wins, aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Brian Shaver, who won a low-turnout May primary, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition typical of challengers in such districts. Historical base rates for similarly situated safe seats show minimal movement absent major scandals or national realignments. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, ethics controversy, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$49,740Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bob Latta’s unopposed primary victory and two-decade House tenure anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in Ohio’s 5th congressional district. The seat’s R+12 partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 23.7-point 2024 margin and consistent double-digit GOP wins, aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Brian Shaver, who won a low-turnout May primary, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition typical of challengers in such districts. Historical base rates for similarly situated safe seats show minimal movement absent major scandals or national realignments. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, ethics controversy, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$49,740Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bob Latta’s unopposed primary victory and two-decade House tenure anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in Ohio’s 5th congressional district. The seat’s R+12 partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 23.7-point 2024 margin and consistent double-digit GOP wins, aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Brian Shaver, who won a low-turnout May primary, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition typical of challengers in such districts. Historical base rates for similarly situated safe seats show minimal movement absent major scandals or national realignments. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, ethics controversy, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania