Georgia's 11th congressional district, an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Barry Loudermilk, features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and northern Atlanta exurban territory that has consistently supported GOP candidates. The May 2026 Republican primary advanced John Cowan and Rob Adkerson to a June 16 runoff, while Democrat Chris Harden secured his party's nomination. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 82% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's established voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling signals or external factors that would narrow the gap. The outcome remains subject to standard midterm turnout dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGA-11 House Election Winner
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
18%
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
18%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 11th congressional district, an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Barry Loudermilk, features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and northern Atlanta exurban territory that has consistently supported GOP candidates. The May 2026 Republican primary advanced John Cowan and Rob Adkerson to a June 16 runoff, while Democrat Chris Harden secured his party's nomination. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 82% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's established voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling signals or external factors that would narrow the gap. The outcome remains subject to standard midterm turnout dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania