The solidly Republican lean of Georgia’s 11th Congressional District, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 18.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus that Republican nominee John Cowan holds a commanding lead over Democrat Chris Harden. The open seat created by retiring incumbent Barry Loudermilk’s February 2026 announcement drew a crowded primary field, but Cowan secured the nomination after winning the June runoff with 65% against Rob Adkerson, while Harden prevailed in the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no recent public polls showing meaningful movement. Minor independent candidates on the November 3 ballot are not viewed as competitive. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national shift, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though the district’s consistent partisan pattern and Cowan’s local profile and fundraising edge make such reversals improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGA-11 House Election Winner
GA-11 House Election Winner
$53,123 Wol.
$53,123 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
John Cowan (R)
98%
Chris Harden (D)
2%
$53,123 Wol.
$53,123 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
John Cowan (R)
$38,325 Wol.
98%
Chris Harden (D)
$14,798 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Georgia’s 11th Congressional District, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 18.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus that Republican nominee John Cowan holds a commanding lead over Democrat Chris Harden. The open seat created by retiring incumbent Barry Loudermilk’s February 2026 announcement drew a crowded primary field, but Cowan secured the nomination after winning the June runoff with 65% against Rob Adkerson, while Harden prevailed in the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no recent public polls showing meaningful movement. Minor independent candidates on the November 3 ballot are not viewed as competitive. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national shift, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though the district’s consistent partisan pattern and Cowan’s local profile and fundraising edge make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,123Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Georgia’s 11th Congressional District, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 18.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus that Republican nominee John Cowan holds a commanding lead over Democrat Chris Harden. The open seat created by retiring incumbent Barry Loudermilk’s February 2026 announcement drew a crowded primary field, but Cowan secured the nomination after winning the June runoff with 65% against Rob Adkerson, while Harden prevailed in the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no recent public polls showing meaningful movement. Minor independent candidates on the November 3 ballot are not viewed as competitive. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national shift, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though the district’s consistent partisan pattern and Cowan’s local profile and fundraising edge make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$53,123Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican lean of Georgia’s 11th Congressional District, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 18.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus that Republican nominee John Cowan holds a commanding lead over Democrat Chris Harden. The open seat created by retiring incumbent Barry Loudermilk’s February 2026 announcement drew a crowded primary field, but Cowan secured the nomination after winning the June runoff with 65% against Rob Adkerson, while Harden prevailed in the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no recent public polls showing meaningful movement. Minor independent candidates on the November 3 ballot are not viewed as competitive. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national shift, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though the district’s consistent partisan pattern and Cowan’s local profile and fundraising edge make such reversals improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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