Texas's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, reflected in 2024 presidential results showing a 23-point margin and reaffirmed by post-redistricting boundaries covering portions of Dallas, Ellis, Johnson, Navarro, and Tarrant counties. Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary with over 66 percent of the vote, facing minimal primary opposition and entering the general election against Democrat Danny Minton. Forecasters including Decision Desk HQ and the Cook Political Report rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican reflects these structural advantages plus Ellzey's incumbency edge. A major national Democratic surge or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin, though such shifts have limited precedent in this district.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-06 House Election Winner
TX-06 House Election Winner
$35,414 Wol.
$35,414 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
$35,414 Wol.
$35,414 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$14,192 Wol.
91%
Democratic Party
$21,222 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, reflected in 2024 presidential results showing a 23-point margin and reaffirmed by post-redistricting boundaries covering portions of Dallas, Ellis, Johnson, Navarro, and Tarrant counties. Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary with over 66 percent of the vote, facing minimal primary opposition and entering the general election against Democrat Danny Minton. Forecasters including Decision Desk HQ and the Cook Political Report rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican reflects these structural advantages plus Ellzey's incumbency edge. A major national Democratic surge or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin, though such shifts have limited precedent in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$35,414Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, reflected in 2024 presidential results showing a 23-point margin and reaffirmed by post-redistricting boundaries covering portions of Dallas, Ellis, Johnson, Navarro, and Tarrant counties. Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary with over 66 percent of the vote, facing minimal primary opposition and entering the general election against Democrat Danny Minton. Forecasters including Decision Desk HQ and the Cook Political Report rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican reflects these structural advantages plus Ellzey's incumbency edge. A major national Democratic surge or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin, though such shifts have limited precedent in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$35,414Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, reflected in 2024 presidential results showing a 23-point margin and reaffirmed by post-redistricting boundaries covering portions of Dallas, Ellis, Johnson, Navarro, and Tarrant counties. Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary with over 66 percent of the vote, facing minimal primary opposition and entering the general election against Democrat Danny Minton. Forecasters including Decision Desk HQ and the Cook Political Report rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican reflects these structural advantages plus Ellzey's incumbency edge. A major national Democratic surge or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin, though such shifts have limited precedent in this district.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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