Recent polling in Texas's 15th Congressional District shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz, with one late-August survey placing Pulido at 50% to De La Cruz's 45%. The district's 2025 redistricting shifted boundaries to include more rural counties, producing a stronger Republican tilt based on 2024 presidential results, yet Pulido's regional name recognition as a Tejano musician has sustained Democratic competitiveness. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as lean Republican or toss-up, reflecting the gap between the district's underlying partisan lean and current head-to-head results. Trader consensus on the market outcome aligns with these polling trends and the absence of decisive late-cycle shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
$17,528 Wol.
$17,528 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
56%
Republican Party
46%
$17,528 Wol.
$17,528 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,828 Wol.
56%
Republican Party
$10,700 Wol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in Texas's 15th Congressional District shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz, with one late-August survey placing Pulido at 50% to De La Cruz's 45%. The district's 2025 redistricting shifted boundaries to include more rural counties, producing a stronger Republican tilt based on 2024 presidential results, yet Pulido's regional name recognition as a Tejano musician has sustained Democratic competitiveness. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as lean Republican or toss-up, reflecting the gap between the district's underlying partisan lean and current head-to-head results. Trader consensus on the market outcome aligns with these polling trends and the absence of decisive late-cycle shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$17,528Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in Texas's 15th Congressional District shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz, with one late-August survey placing Pulido at 50% to De La Cruz's 45%. The district's 2025 redistricting shifted boundaries to include more rural counties, producing a stronger Republican tilt based on 2024 presidential results, yet Pulido's regional name recognition as a Tejano musician has sustained Democratic competitiveness. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as lean Republican or toss-up, reflecting the gap between the district's underlying partisan lean and current head-to-head results. Trader consensus on the market outcome aligns with these polling trends and the absence of decisive late-cycle shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$17,528Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in Texas's 15th Congressional District shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz, with one late-August survey placing Pulido at 50% to De La Cruz's 45%. The district's 2025 redistricting shifted boundaries to include more rural counties, producing a stronger Republican tilt based on 2024 presidential results, yet Pulido's regional name recognition as a Tejano musician has sustained Democratic competitiveness. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as lean Republican or toss-up, reflecting the gap between the district's underlying partisan lean and current head-to-head results. Trader consensus on the market outcome aligns with these polling trends and the absence of decisive late-cycle shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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