The tight trader consensus around even odds for the Democratic and Republican nominees in New York’s 22nd Congressional District reflects the seat’s recent partisan shift and the absence of decisive early-cycle momentum. Incumbent Democrat John Mannion flipped the district in 2024 with 54.6 percent of the vote, yet Republican Kailee Buller has secured the nomination and begun fundraising with ties to agricultural interests and national party networks. An independent candidate adds a potential spoiler dynamic. With the general election still five months away and no major late-breaking developments, traders appear to weigh the district’s modest Democratic lean against the possibility of national midterm headwinds or stronger challenger performance narrowing the margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-22 House Election Winner
NY-22 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
54%
Republican Party
43%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$380 Wol.
54%
Republican Party
$282 Wol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The tight trader consensus around even odds for the Democratic and Republican nominees in New York’s 22nd Congressional District reflects the seat’s recent partisan shift and the absence of decisive early-cycle momentum. Incumbent Democrat John Mannion flipped the district in 2024 with 54.6 percent of the vote, yet Republican Kailee Buller has secured the nomination and begun fundraising with ties to agricultural interests and national party networks. An independent candidate adds a potential spoiler dynamic. With the general election still five months away and no major late-breaking developments, traders appear to weigh the district’s modest Democratic lean against the possibility of national midterm headwinds or stronger challenger performance narrowing the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$662Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The tight trader consensus around even odds for the Democratic and Republican nominees in New York’s 22nd Congressional District reflects the seat’s recent partisan shift and the absence of decisive early-cycle momentum. Incumbent Democrat John Mannion flipped the district in 2024 with 54.6 percent of the vote, yet Republican Kailee Buller has secured the nomination and begun fundraising with ties to agricultural interests and national party networks. An independent candidate adds a potential spoiler dynamic. With the general election still five months away and no major late-breaking developments, traders appear to weigh the district’s modest Democratic lean against the possibility of national midterm headwinds or stronger challenger performance narrowing the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$662Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight trader consensus around even odds for the Democratic and Republican nominees in New York’s 22nd Congressional District reflects the seat’s recent partisan shift and the absence of decisive early-cycle momentum. Incumbent Democrat John Mannion flipped the district in 2024 with 54.6 percent of the vote, yet Republican Kailee Buller has secured the nomination and begun fundraising with ties to agricultural interests and national party networks. An independent candidate adds a potential spoiler dynamic. With the general election still five months away and no major late-breaking developments, traders appear to weigh the district’s modest Democratic lean against the possibility of national midterm headwinds or stronger challenger performance narrowing the margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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