Paige Cognetti holds the edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district because summer 2026 polling showed her leading or tied with incumbent Rob Bresnahan amid his low favorability ratings and attacks over personal stock trades while in office. The Scranton mayor has outraised the freshman Republican in key quarters and benefits from a growing Democratic voter registration advantage in the Lackawanna-Luzerne core of the district. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up or lean Republican given the area’s 2024 Trump margin, yet recent internal surveys and Bresnahan’s underwater numbers have sustained Cognetti’s implied probability above 60 percent. A scheduled October 29 debate offers both candidates a final opportunity to shift momentum before early voting begins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPA-08 House Election Winner
PA-08 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Paige Cognetti (D)
63%
Rob Bresnahan (R)
35%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Paige Cognetti (D)
$5,018 Wol.
63%
Rob Bresnahan (R)
$3,252 Wol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paige Cognetti holds the edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district because summer 2026 polling showed her leading or tied with incumbent Rob Bresnahan amid his low favorability ratings and attacks over personal stock trades while in office. The Scranton mayor has outraised the freshman Republican in key quarters and benefits from a growing Democratic voter registration advantage in the Lackawanna-Luzerne core of the district. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up or lean Republican given the area’s 2024 Trump margin, yet recent internal surveys and Bresnahan’s underwater numbers have sustained Cognetti’s implied probability above 60 percent. A scheduled October 29 debate offers both candidates a final opportunity to shift momentum before early voting begins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,270Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paige Cognetti holds the edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district because summer 2026 polling showed her leading or tied with incumbent Rob Bresnahan amid his low favorability ratings and attacks over personal stock trades while in office. The Scranton mayor has outraised the freshman Republican in key quarters and benefits from a growing Democratic voter registration advantage in the Lackawanna-Luzerne core of the district. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up or lean Republican given the area’s 2024 Trump margin, yet recent internal surveys and Bresnahan’s underwater numbers have sustained Cognetti’s implied probability above 60 percent. A scheduled October 29 debate offers both candidates a final opportunity to shift momentum before early voting begins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$8,270Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Paige Cognetti holds the edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district because summer 2026 polling showed her leading or tied with incumbent Rob Bresnahan amid his low favorability ratings and attacks over personal stock trades while in office. The Scranton mayor has outraised the freshman Republican in key quarters and benefits from a growing Democratic voter registration advantage in the Lackawanna-Luzerne core of the district. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up or lean Republican given the area’s 2024 Trump margin, yet recent internal surveys and Bresnahan’s underwater numbers have sustained Cognetti’s implied probability above 60 percent. A scheduled October 29 debate offers both candidates a final opportunity to shift momentum before early voting begins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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