Democratic incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in New Jersey's 11th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic tilt and her April 2026 special election victory of roughly 60 percent to 39 percent over Republican Joe Hathaway. The district, vacated by former Representative Mikie Sherrill after her gubernatorial win, carries a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by several points, bolstered by voter registration advantages and recent statewide Democratic performance. Mejia consolidated support through a competitive primary and benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and established fundraising. Traders assign the Republican nominee only slim odds because historical results, district demographics, and the absence of major recent shifts show limited pathways for an upset, though a significant national Republican wave, unforeseen candidate issues, or turnout anomalies could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$32,772 Wol.
$32,772 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$32,772 Wol.
$32,772 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$23,573 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$9,199 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in New Jersey's 11th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic tilt and her April 2026 special election victory of roughly 60 percent to 39 percent over Republican Joe Hathaway. The district, vacated by former Representative Mikie Sherrill after her gubernatorial win, carries a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by several points, bolstered by voter registration advantages and recent statewide Democratic performance. Mejia consolidated support through a competitive primary and benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and established fundraising. Traders assign the Republican nominee only slim odds because historical results, district demographics, and the absence of major recent shifts show limited pathways for an upset, though a significant national Republican wave, unforeseen candidate issues, or turnout anomalies could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,772Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in New Jersey's 11th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic tilt and her April 2026 special election victory of roughly 60 percent to 39 percent over Republican Joe Hathaway. The district, vacated by former Representative Mikie Sherrill after her gubernatorial win, carries a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by several points, bolstered by voter registration advantages and recent statewide Democratic performance. Mejia consolidated support through a competitive primary and benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and established fundraising. Traders assign the Republican nominee only slim odds because historical results, district demographics, and the absence of major recent shifts show limited pathways for an upset, though a significant national Republican wave, unforeseen candidate issues, or turnout anomalies could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$32,772Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in New Jersey's 11th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic tilt and her April 2026 special election victory of roughly 60 percent to 39 percent over Republican Joe Hathaway. The district, vacated by former Representative Mikie Sherrill after her gubernatorial win, carries a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by several points, bolstered by voter registration advantages and recent statewide Democratic performance. Mejia consolidated support through a competitive primary and benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and established fundraising. Traders assign the Republican nominee only slim odds because historical results, district demographics, and the absence of major recent shifts show limited pathways for an upset, though a significant national Republican wave, unforeseen candidate issues, or turnout anomalies could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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