Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in suburban Northern Virginia, where recent election results and partisan voter index data show consistent double-digit advantages for Democratic candidates. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election by roughly 50 points after Gerry Connolly's death and now benefits from incumbency, unified party support after an uncontested 2026 primary, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Arthur Purves advanced without primary opposition but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments like a major scandal or national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoVA-11 House Election Winner
VA-11 House Election Winner
$28,273 Wol.
$28,273 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
James Walkinshaw (D)
97%
Arthur Purves (R)
<1%
$28,273 Wol.
$28,273 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
James Walkinshaw (D)
$16,650 Wol.
97%
Arthur Purves (R)
$11,623 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in suburban Northern Virginia, where recent election results and partisan voter index data show consistent double-digit advantages for Democratic candidates. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election by roughly 50 points after Gerry Connolly's death and now benefits from incumbency, unified party support after an uncontested 2026 primary, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Arthur Purves advanced without primary opposition but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments like a major scandal or national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$28,273Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in suburban Northern Virginia, where recent election results and partisan voter index data show consistent double-digit advantages for Democratic candidates. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election by roughly 50 points after Gerry Connolly's death and now benefits from incumbency, unified party support after an uncontested 2026 primary, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Arthur Purves advanced without primary opposition but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments like a major scandal or national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$28,273Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in suburban Northern Virginia, where recent election results and partisan voter index data show consistent double-digit advantages for Democratic candidates. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election by roughly 50 points after Gerry Connolly's death and now benefits from incumbency, unified party support after an uncontested 2026 primary, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Arthur Purves advanced without primary opposition but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments like a major scandal or national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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