Republican incumbent August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 3, 2026, general election for Texas’s 11th congressional district. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s R+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and its history of double-digit GOP margins. Pfluger ran unopposed in the March primary, while Reynolds secured the Democratic nomination; mid-decade redistricting left the seat’s partisan composition largely unchanged. Limited Democratic fundraising and organizational presence in the rural and energy-producing areas reinforce the structural Republican advantage reflected in trader consensus. A significant national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in this cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-11 House Election Winner
$32,186 Wol.
$32,186 Wol.
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$32,186 Wol.
$32,186 Wol.
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 3, 2026, general election for Texas’s 11th congressional district. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s R+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and its history of double-digit GOP margins. Pfluger ran unopposed in the March primary, while Reynolds secured the Democratic nomination; mid-decade redistricting left the seat’s partisan composition largely unchanged. Limited Democratic fundraising and organizational presence in the rural and energy-producing areas reinforce the structural Republican advantage reflected in trader consensus. A significant national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in this cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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