Florida's 11th congressional district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, including a Trump margin exceeding 15 points in 2024 under existing lines. The open seat following longtime incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement produced an August 18 Republican primary won narrowly by businessman Joe Strada after a recount, while Democrat James Pericola secured his party's nomination. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, and the November 3 contest features limited structural pathways for Democrats absent major shifts in turnout or candidate positioning. Trader consensus at roughly 83% for the Republican nominee aligns with these district fundamentals and primary results, with only modest movement possible from late-cycle developments before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFL-11 House Election Winner
FL-11 House Election Winner
$19,505 Wol.
$19,505 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
15%
$19,505 Wol.
$19,505 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$7,543 Wol.
83%
Democratic Party
$11,962 Wol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, including a Trump margin exceeding 15 points in 2024 under existing lines. The open seat following longtime incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement produced an August 18 Republican primary won narrowly by businessman Joe Strada after a recount, while Democrat James Pericola secured his party's nomination. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, and the November 3 contest features limited structural pathways for Democrats absent major shifts in turnout or candidate positioning. Trader consensus at roughly 83% for the Republican nominee aligns with these district fundamentals and primary results, with only modest movement possible from late-cycle developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,505Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, including a Trump margin exceeding 15 points in 2024 under existing lines. The open seat following longtime incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement produced an August 18 Republican primary won narrowly by businessman Joe Strada after a recount, while Democrat James Pericola secured his party's nomination. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, and the November 3 contest features limited structural pathways for Democrats absent major shifts in turnout or candidate positioning. Trader consensus at roughly 83% for the Republican nominee aligns with these district fundamentals and primary results, with only modest movement possible from late-cycle developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$19,505Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, including a Trump margin exceeding 15 points in 2024 under existing lines. The open seat following longtime incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement produced an August 18 Republican primary won narrowly by businessman Joe Strada after a recount, while Democrat James Pericola secured his party's nomination. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, and the November 3 contest features limited structural pathways for Democrats absent major shifts in turnout or candidate positioning. Trader consensus at roughly 83% for the Republican nominee aligns with these district fundamentals and primary results, with only modest movement possible from late-cycle developments before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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