The entry of Parti Socialiste first secretary Olivier Faure as a candidate has narrowed expectations around Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique and created a competitive field that also includes Jérôme Guedj, Philippe Brun, Emmanuel Maurel, and Ségolène Royal. Formal declarations close on 15 September, with parrainage thresholds still to be cleared ahead of the electronic first-round vote on 9-10 October. Internal debates over the scope of participation, including potential inclusion of figures such as François Ruffin, and the structure of televised debates have added friction without yet producing a clear frontrunner. These overlapping candidacies and procedural questions sustain tight trader pricing among the leading options while leaving room for late shifts in endorsements or turnout among party members and sympathizers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRaphaël Glucksmann 56%
Olivier Faure 36%
Philippe Brun 27%
Jérôme Guedj 19%

Raphaël Glucksmann
56%

Olivier Faure
36%

Philippe Brun
27%

Jérôme Guedj
19%

Ségolène Royal
18%

Emmanuel Maurel
16%
Raphaël Glucksmann 56%
Olivier Faure 36%
Philippe Brun 27%
Jérôme Guedj 19%

Raphaël Glucksmann
56%

Olivier Faure
36%

Philippe Brun
27%

Jérôme Guedj
19%

Ségolène Royal
18%

Emmanuel Maurel
16%
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The entry of Parti Socialiste first secretary Olivier Faure as a candidate has narrowed expectations around Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique and created a competitive field that also includes Jérôme Guedj, Philippe Brun, Emmanuel Maurel, and Ségolène Royal. Formal declarations close on 15 September, with parrainage thresholds still to be cleared ahead of the electronic first-round vote on 9-10 October. Internal debates over the scope of participation, including potential inclusion of figures such as François Ruffin, and the structure of televised debates have added friction without yet producing a clear frontrunner. These overlapping candidacies and procedural questions sustain tight trader pricing among the leading options while leaving room for late shifts in endorsements or turnout among party members and sympathizers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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