Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, projected at 6–9 seats across multiple surveys conducted in early September 2026, translating to roughly 5–7.5% of the national vote. The party's final candidate list submission, featuring additions such as former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in a prominent position, has been a focal point, alongside adjustments like MK Zvika Fogel opting not to run. Broader bloc dynamics remain fluid, with Netanyahu-aligned parties facing pressure from opposition gains and threshold risks for smaller right-wing lists, creating volatility in smaller-party estimates. Traders appear to weigh these list changes, turnout patterns among right-wing voters, and late-campaign shifts as primary factors keeping projected shares tightly clustered in the 5–7.5% range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano5.5-6.5% 46%
6.5-7.5% 44%
4.5-5.5% 39%
7.5%+ 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<4.5%
31%
4.5-5.5%
39%
5.5-6.5%
46%
6.5-7.5%
44%
7.5%+
38%
5.5-6.5% 46%
6.5-7.5% 44%
4.5-5.5% 39%
7.5%+ 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<4.5%
$0 Wol.
31%
4.5-5.5%
$0 Wol.
39%
5.5-6.5%
$0 Wol.
46%
6.5-7.5%
$0 Wol.
44%
7.5%+
$0 Wol.
38%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, projected at 6–9 seats across multiple surveys conducted in early September 2026, translating to roughly 5–7.5% of the national vote. The party's final candidate list submission, featuring additions such as former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in a prominent position, has been a focal point, alongside adjustments like MK Zvika Fogel opting not to run. Broader bloc dynamics remain fluid, with Netanyahu-aligned parties facing pressure from opposition gains and threshold risks for smaller right-wing lists, creating volatility in smaller-party estimates. Traders appear to weigh these list changes, turnout patterns among right-wing voters, and late-campaign shifts as primary factors keeping projected shares tightly clustered in the 5–7.5% range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, projected at 6–9 seats across multiple surveys conducted in early September 2026, translating to roughly 5–7.5% of the national vote. The party's final candidate list submission, featuring additions such as former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in a prominent position, has been a focal point, alongside adjustments like MK Zvika Fogel opting not to run. Broader bloc dynamics remain fluid, with Netanyahu-aligned parties facing pressure from opposition gains and threshold risks for smaller right-wing lists, creating volatility in smaller-party estimates. Traders appear to weigh these list changes, turnout patterns among right-wing voters, and late-campaign shifts as primary factors keeping projected shares tightly clustered in the 5–7.5% range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, projected at 6–9 seats across multiple surveys conducted in early September 2026, translating to roughly 5–7.5% of the national vote. The party's final candidate list submission, featuring additions such as former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in a prominent position, has been a focal point, alongside adjustments like MK Zvika Fogel opting not to run. Broader bloc dynamics remain fluid, with Netanyahu-aligned parties facing pressure from opposition gains and threshold risks for smaller right-wing lists, creating volatility in smaller-party estimates. Traders appear to weigh these list changes, turnout patterns among right-wing voters, and late-campaign shifts as primary factors keeping projected shares tightly clustered in the 5–7.5% range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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