Traders assign the Democratic nominee a leading 71.5% implied probability in the IA-01 House race, consistent with the district’s toss-up rating from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. The contest features a rematch between incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks and former state Representative Christina Bohannan, who both won their June 2 primaries by wide margins. The seat’s R+4 partisan voting index, narrow 2024 margin, and status as one of Iowa’s more competitive districts drive the market’s assessment of a closely contested general election on November 3. National midterm dynamics and candidate fundraising could further influence outcomes before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIA-01 House Election Winner
IA-01 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
72%
Republican Party
32%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$817 Wol.
72%
Republican Party
$771 Wol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Traders assign the Democratic nominee a leading 71.5% implied probability in the IA-01 House race, consistent with the district’s toss-up rating from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. The contest features a rematch between incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks and former state Representative Christina Bohannan, who both won their June 2 primaries by wide margins. The seat’s R+4 partisan voting index, narrow 2024 margin, and status as one of Iowa’s more competitive districts drive the market’s assessment of a closely contested general election on November 3. National midterm dynamics and candidate fundraising could further influence outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,588Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Traders assign the Democratic nominee a leading 71.5% implied probability in the IA-01 House race, consistent with the district’s toss-up rating from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. The contest features a rematch between incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks and former state Representative Christina Bohannan, who both won their June 2 primaries by wide margins. The seat’s R+4 partisan voting index, narrow 2024 margin, and status as one of Iowa’s more competitive districts drive the market’s assessment of a closely contested general election on November 3. National midterm dynamics and candidate fundraising could further influence outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$1,588Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign the Democratic nominee a leading 71.5% implied probability in the IA-01 House race, consistent with the district’s toss-up rating from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. The contest features a rematch between incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks and former state Representative Christina Bohannan, who both won their June 2 primaries by wide margins. The seat’s R+4 partisan voting index, narrow 2024 margin, and status as one of Iowa’s more competitive districts drive the market’s assessment of a closely contested general election on November 3. National midterm dynamics and candidate fundraising could further influence outcomes before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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