**Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on Des Moines with an R+2 partisan voting index.** Republican incumbent Zach Nunn, who won narrowly in 2024, faces Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott in the November 3, 2026 general election after both cleared uncontested primaries. Early polling showed mixed results, with some surveys giving Trone Garriott a lead and others favoring Nunn by a slim margin. Trader consensus reflected in the 66.5% Democratic price appears driven by the district's history of close contests, national midterm dynamics, and a July 2026 incident in which video captured Nunn striking a phone from a Democratic staffer's hand. Fundraising remains robust on both sides, with Nunn securing major ad reservations, while the race's toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from outlets like Cook underscore its sensitivity to turnout and late-cycle shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIA-03 House Election Winner
IA-03 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
67%
Republican Party
32%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,869 Wol.
67%
Republican Party
$2,933 Wol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on Des Moines with an R+2 partisan voting index.** Republican incumbent Zach Nunn, who won narrowly in 2024, faces Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott in the November 3, 2026 general election after both cleared uncontested primaries. Early polling showed mixed results, with some surveys giving Trone Garriott a lead and others favoring Nunn by a slim margin. Trader consensus reflected in the 66.5% Democratic price appears driven by the district's history of close contests, national midterm dynamics, and a July 2026 incident in which video captured Nunn striking a phone from a Democratic staffer's hand. Fundraising remains robust on both sides, with Nunn securing major ad reservations, while the race's toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from outlets like Cook underscore its sensitivity to turnout and late-cycle shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,801Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on Des Moines with an R+2 partisan voting index.** Republican incumbent Zach Nunn, who won narrowly in 2024, faces Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott in the November 3, 2026 general election after both cleared uncontested primaries. Early polling showed mixed results, with some surveys giving Trone Garriott a lead and others favoring Nunn by a slim margin. Trader consensus reflected in the 66.5% Democratic price appears driven by the district's history of close contests, national midterm dynamics, and a July 2026 incident in which video captured Nunn striking a phone from a Democratic staffer's hand. Fundraising remains robust on both sides, with Nunn securing major ad reservations, while the race's toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from outlets like Cook underscore its sensitivity to turnout and late-cycle shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$5,801Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on Des Moines with an R+2 partisan voting index.** Republican incumbent Zach Nunn, who won narrowly in 2024, faces Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott in the November 3, 2026 general election after both cleared uncontested primaries. Early polling showed mixed results, with some surveys giving Trone Garriott a lead and others favoring Nunn by a slim margin. Trader consensus reflected in the 66.5% Democratic price appears driven by the district's history of close contests, national midterm dynamics, and a July 2026 incident in which video captured Nunn striking a phone from a Democratic staffer's hand. Fundraising remains robust on both sides, with Nunn securing major ad reservations, while the race's toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from outlets like Cook underscore its sensitivity to turnout and late-cycle shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania