Iowa's 2nd congressional district remains an open-seat contest following Ashley Hinson's decision to pursue a Senate bid, with Republican Joe Mitchell and Democrat Lindsay James emerging as nominees after the June 2 primaries. Mitchell secured the GOP nod with over 60 percent and President Trump's endorsement, while James won her party's primary by a similar margin as a sitting state representative. The district's R+4 Partisan Voter Index and recent Republican holds keep the race competitive, reflected in trader consensus near even odds. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include candidate profiles, midterm turnout patterns, and national political conditions. Developments likely to shift probabilities include early fundraising reports, initial general-election polling, major endorsements, or shifts in the broader congressional environment ahead of November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIA-02 House Election Winner
IA-02 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
51%
Democratic Party
51%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,131 Wol.
51%
Democratic Party
$2,207 Wol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 2nd congressional district remains an open-seat contest following Ashley Hinson's decision to pursue a Senate bid, with Republican Joe Mitchell and Democrat Lindsay James emerging as nominees after the June 2 primaries. Mitchell secured the GOP nod with over 60 percent and President Trump's endorsement, while James won her party's primary by a similar margin as a sitting state representative. The district's R+4 Partisan Voter Index and recent Republican holds keep the race competitive, reflected in trader consensus near even odds. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include candidate profiles, midterm turnout patterns, and national political conditions. Developments likely to shift probabilities include early fundraising reports, initial general-election polling, major endorsements, or shifts in the broader congressional environment ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,338Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 2nd congressional district remains an open-seat contest following Ashley Hinson's decision to pursue a Senate bid, with Republican Joe Mitchell and Democrat Lindsay James emerging as nominees after the June 2 primaries. Mitchell secured the GOP nod with over 60 percent and President Trump's endorsement, while James won her party's primary by a similar margin as a sitting state representative. The district's R+4 Partisan Voter Index and recent Republican holds keep the race competitive, reflected in trader consensus near even odds. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include candidate profiles, midterm turnout patterns, and national political conditions. Developments likely to shift probabilities include early fundraising reports, initial general-election polling, major endorsements, or shifts in the broader congressional environment ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$3,338Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 2nd congressional district remains an open-seat contest following Ashley Hinson's decision to pursue a Senate bid, with Republican Joe Mitchell and Democrat Lindsay James emerging as nominees after the June 2 primaries. Mitchell secured the GOP nod with over 60 percent and President Trump's endorsement, while James won her party's primary by a similar margin as a sitting state representative. The district's R+4 Partisan Voter Index and recent Republican holds keep the race competitive, reflected in trader consensus near even odds. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include candidate profiles, midterm turnout patterns, and national political conditions. Developments likely to shift probabilities include early fundraising reports, initial general-election polling, major endorsements, or shifts in the broader congressional environment ahead of November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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