Blue and White, the centrist alliance led by Benny Gantz, faces structural headwinds ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Multiple recent polls place its projected vote share between 0.9% and 1.3%, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, after a series of MK defections to parties such as Yashar and B’Yachad reduced its parliamentary footprint. Party-list finalization on September 8 produced a heavily revised slate, yet surveys conducted in the following days continued to show the list failing to consolidate support amid competition from larger opposition groupings and new entrants. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to sub-0.75% outcomes, with successively lower odds attached to higher bands, reflecting the consistent polling trajectory and limited remaining campaign window for reversal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano<0.75% 39%
0.75-1.25% 21%
1.25-2% 20%
2-3.25% 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
39%
0.75-1.25%
21%
1.25-2%
20%
2-3.25%
19%
3.25%+
7%
<0.75% 39%
0.75-1.25% 21%
1.25-2% 20%
2-3.25% 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
$244 Wol.
39%
0.75-1.25%
$373 Wol.
21%
1.25-2%
$15 Wol.
20%
2-3.25%
$15 Wol.
19%
3.25%+
$245 Wol.
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, the centrist alliance led by Benny Gantz, faces structural headwinds ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Multiple recent polls place its projected vote share between 0.9% and 1.3%, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, after a series of MK defections to parties such as Yashar and B’Yachad reduced its parliamentary footprint. Party-list finalization on September 8 produced a heavily revised slate, yet surveys conducted in the following days continued to show the list failing to consolidate support amid competition from larger opposition groupings and new entrants. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to sub-0.75% outcomes, with successively lower odds attached to higher bands, reflecting the consistent polling trajectory and limited remaining campaign window for reversal.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$892Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, the centrist alliance led by Benny Gantz, faces structural headwinds ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Multiple recent polls place its projected vote share between 0.9% and 1.3%, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, after a series of MK defections to parties such as Yashar and B’Yachad reduced its parliamentary footprint. Party-list finalization on September 8 produced a heavily revised slate, yet surveys conducted in the following days continued to show the list failing to consolidate support amid competition from larger opposition groupings and new entrants. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to sub-0.75% outcomes, with successively lower odds attached to higher bands, reflecting the consistent polling trajectory and limited remaining campaign window for reversal.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Wolumen
$892Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Blue and White, the centrist alliance led by Benny Gantz, faces structural headwinds ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Multiple recent polls place its projected vote share between 0.9% and 1.3%, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, after a series of MK defections to parties such as Yashar and B’Yachad reduced its parliamentary footprint. Party-list finalization on September 8 produced a heavily revised slate, yet surveys conducted in the following days continued to show the list failing to consolidate support amid competition from larger opposition groupings and new entrants. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to sub-0.75% outcomes, with successively lower odds attached to higher bands, reflecting the consistent polling trajectory and limited remaining campaign window for reversal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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