Recent polls following the September 8 party-list deadline show a fragmented field for the October 27 Knesset vote, with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud trading narrow leads around 22-24 projected seats each and neither bloc consistently reaching the 61-seat majority needed to form a government. Small parties face acute threshold risk at 3.25 percent, with Ofer Winter’s People of Israel crossing in most surveys while the Reservists-Economic list hovers near or below it; surplus-vote pacts among Yashar-Democrats, Together-Yisrael Beiteinu, and Joint List-Ra’am further shape final seat allocation. Security developments and undecided voters continue to influence turnout dynamics in the weeks before early diplomatic voting on October 20.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Ra'am
88%
RZP-Zehut
87%
Amcha Yisrael
68%
Reservists and New Economic Party
29%
Blue & White
7%
$1,554 Wol.
Ra'am
$88 Wol.
88%
RZP-Zehut
$807 Wol.
87%
Amcha Yisrael
$241 Wol.
68%
Reservists and New Economic Party
$109 Wol.
29%
Blue & White
$309 Wol.
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls following the September 8 party-list deadline show a fragmented field for the October 27 Knesset vote, with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud trading narrow leads around 22-24 projected seats each and neither bloc consistently reaching the 61-seat majority needed to form a government. Small parties face acute threshold risk at 3.25 percent, with Ofer Winter’s People of Israel crossing in most surveys while the Reservists-Economic list hovers near or below it; surplus-vote pacts among Yashar-Democrats, Together-Yisrael Beiteinu, and Joint List-Ra’am further shape final seat allocation. Security developments and undecided voters continue to influence turnout dynamics in the weeks before early diplomatic voting on October 20.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,554Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls following the September 8 party-list deadline show a fragmented field for the October 27 Knesset vote, with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud trading narrow leads around 22-24 projected seats each and neither bloc consistently reaching the 61-seat majority needed to form a government. Small parties face acute threshold risk at 3.25 percent, with Ofer Winter’s People of Israel crossing in most surveys while the Reservists-Economic list hovers near or below it; surplus-vote pacts among Yashar-Democrats, Together-Yisrael Beiteinu, and Joint List-Ra’am further shape final seat allocation. Security developments and undecided voters continue to influence turnout dynamics in the weeks before early diplomatic voting on October 20.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Wolumen
$1,554Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Recent polls following the September 8 party-list deadline show a fragmented field for the October 27 Knesset vote, with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud trading narrow leads around 22-24 projected seats each and neither bloc consistently reaching the 61-seat majority needed to form a government. Small parties face acute threshold risk at 3.25 percent, with Ofer Winter’s People of Israel crossing in most surveys while the Reservists-Economic list hovers near or below it; surplus-vote pacts among Yashar-Democrats, Together-Yisrael Beiteinu, and Joint List-Ra’am further shape final seat allocation. Security developments and undecided voters continue to influence turnout dynamics in the weeks before early diplomatic voting on October 20.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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