Sweden’s parliamentary election on September 13 features a tight race between the centre-left and Tidö blocs, with polls showing gaps under three points in the final week. This closeness, combined with record early voting exceeding three million ballots since late August, has boosted expectations for turnout above the 84.2 percent recorded in 2022. Sweden’s consistent pattern of high participation, driven by widespread “valstugor” campaign sites and broad eligibility among roughly eight million voters, supports the market’s emphasis on the 86-88 percent range as the consensus outcome. The competitive environment and sustained engagement have positioned this band ahead of lower historical benchmarks while limiting odds on sub-82 percent results.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano84-86% 27%
88%+ 20%
<82% <1%
82-84% 0
$7,144 Wol.
$7,144 Wol.
<82%
1%
82-84%
35%
84-86%
27%
86-88%
51%
88%+
15%
84-86% 27%
88%+ 20%
<82% <1%
82-84% 0
$7,144 Wol.
$7,144 Wol.
<82%
1%
82-84%
35%
84-86%
27%
86-88%
51%
88%+
15%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Sweden’s parliamentary election on September 13 features a tight race between the centre-left and Tidö blocs, with polls showing gaps under three points in the final week. This closeness, combined with record early voting exceeding three million ballots since late August, has boosted expectations for turnout above the 84.2 percent recorded in 2022. Sweden’s consistent pattern of high participation, driven by widespread “valstugor” campaign sites and broad eligibility among roughly eight million voters, supports the market’s emphasis on the 86-88 percent range as the consensus outcome. The competitive environment and sustained engagement have positioned this band ahead of lower historical benchmarks while limiting odds on sub-82 percent results.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?
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