Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot, remains locked in a tight contest for the largest share of the Knesset vote ahead of the October 27 election. Recent September polls place the party at 22-25 seats—roughly 18-21% of the vote—alternating with Likud for the top spot, while B’Yachad trails further behind. Candidate-list finalization in early September, including high-profile security figures on Yashar’s slate, has stabilized its positioning without triggering major shifts. Voter fragmentation across the center and right, combined with undecided respondents and bloc arithmetic that leaves neither the Netanyahu-aligned nor Zionist opposition camp assured of 61 seats, sustains the narrow spreads in trader pricing. Upcoming campaign events and any late consolidation among smaller lists could still widen or narrow Yashar’s projected range before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIsrael Election: Yashar vote share?
Israel Election: Yashar vote share?
16-18% 38%
18-20% 34%
20-22% 34%
22-24% 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<16%
21%
16-18%
38%
18-20%
34%
20-22%
34%
22-24%
29%
24%+
33%
16-18% 38%
18-20% 34%
20-22% 34%
22-24% 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<16%
$16 Wol.
21%
16-18%
$0 Wol.
38%
18-20%
$0 Wol.
34%
20-22%
$0 Wol.
34%
22-24%
$0 Wol.
29%
24%+
$21 Wol.
33%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot, remains locked in a tight contest for the largest share of the Knesset vote ahead of the October 27 election. Recent September polls place the party at 22-25 seats—roughly 18-21% of the vote—alternating with Likud for the top spot, while B’Yachad trails further behind. Candidate-list finalization in early September, including high-profile security figures on Yashar’s slate, has stabilized its positioning without triggering major shifts. Voter fragmentation across the center and right, combined with undecided respondents and bloc arithmetic that leaves neither the Netanyahu-aligned nor Zionist opposition camp assured of 61 seats, sustains the narrow spreads in trader pricing. Upcoming campaign events and any late consolidation among smaller lists could still widen or narrow Yashar’s projected range before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Wolumen
$37Data zakończenia
Nov 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot, remains locked in a tight contest for the largest share of the Knesset vote ahead of the October 27 election. Recent September polls place the party at 22-25 seats—roughly 18-21% of the vote—alternating with Likud for the top spot, while B’Yachad trails further behind. Candidate-list finalization in early September, including high-profile security figures on Yashar’s slate, has stabilized its positioning without triggering major shifts. Voter fragmentation across the center and right, combined with undecided respondents and bloc arithmetic that leaves neither the Netanyahu-aligned nor Zionist opposition camp assured of 61 seats, sustains the narrow spreads in trader pricing. Upcoming campaign events and any late consolidation among smaller lists could still widen or narrow Yashar’s projected range before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Wolumen
$37Data zakończenia
Nov 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot, remains locked in a tight contest for the largest share of the Knesset vote ahead of the October 27 election. Recent September polls place the party at 22-25 seats—roughly 18-21% of the vote—alternating with Likud for the top spot, while B’Yachad trails further behind. Candidate-list finalization in early September, including high-profile security figures on Yashar’s slate, has stabilized its positioning without triggering major shifts. Voter fragmentation across the center and right, combined with undecided respondents and bloc arithmetic that leaves neither the Netanyahu-aligned nor Zionist opposition camp assured of 61 seats, sustains the narrow spreads in trader pricing. Upcoming campaign events and any late consolidation among smaller lists could still widen or narrow Yashar’s projected range before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania