Russian forces reported capturing Preobrazhenka in Donetsk Oblast in April 2025 during advances linked to operations around Krasnoarmeysk and nearby settlements, with the Defense Ministry citing control over the village after strikes on Ukrainian positions and supply routes. As of September 2026, broader fighting continues in Donetsk and adjacent sectors, including incremental Russian gains near Kupyansk and contested areas around Slovyansk, amid Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian infrastructure and Russian missile-drone campaigns. Trader assessments of any timeline-based market on entry reflect confirmed territorial shifts from 2025 alongside the pace of current frontline movements, Ukrainian defensive adjustments, and the absence of major reported reversals at that specific location. Scheduled developments such as seasonal weather impacts or shifts in artillery and drone usage could influence near-term assessments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Russia enter Preobrazhenka by...?
October 31
64%
December 31
81%
$865 Wol.
October 31
64%
December 31
81%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 10:40 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Russian forces reported capturing Preobrazhenka in Donetsk Oblast in April 2025 during advances linked to operations around Krasnoarmeysk and nearby settlements, with the Defense Ministry citing control over the village after strikes on Ukrainian positions and supply routes. As of September 2026, broader fighting continues in Donetsk and adjacent sectors, including incremental Russian gains near Kupyansk and contested areas around Slovyansk, amid Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian infrastructure and Russian missile-drone campaigns. Trader assessments of any timeline-based market on entry reflect confirmed territorial shifts from 2025 alongside the pace of current frontline movements, Ukrainian defensive adjustments, and the absence of major reported reversals at that specific location. Scheduled developments such as seasonal weather impacts or shifts in artillery and drone usage could influence near-term assessments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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