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Polityka·Nagrody

Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026

icon for Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026
Polityka·Nagrody

Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026

Julia Nawalna 8%

Save the Children 5.3%

Międzynarodowy Trybunał Sprawiedliwości 5.1%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 5.0%

Polymarket

$23,863,438 Wol.

Julia Nawalna 8%

Save the Children 5.3%

Międzynarodowy Trybunał Sprawiedliwości 5.1%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 5.0%

Polymarket

$23,863,438 Wol.

icon for Julia Nawalna

Julia Nawalna

$297,294 Wol.

8%

icon for Save the Children

Save the Children

$3,327 Wol.

5%

icon for Międzynarodowy Trybunał Sprawiedliwości

Międzynarodowy Trybunał Sprawiedliwości

$913,545 Wol.

5%

icon for Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$4,959 Wol.

5%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,051,081 Wol.

5%

icon for Wołodymyr Zełenski

Wołodymyr Zełenski

$823,079 Wol.

2%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$789,014 Wol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$4,530,884 Wol.

2%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,274,417 Wol.

2%

icon for World Central Kitchen

World Central Kitchen

$3,070 Wol.

2%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$688,609 Wol.

1%

icon for Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

$1,276 Wol.

1%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,473,660 Wol.

1%

icon for Committee to Protect Journalists

Committee to Protect Journalists

$2,585 Wol.

1%

icon for Chow Hang-tung

Chow Hang-tung

$2,533 Wol.

1%

icon for ICRC

ICRC

$2,759 Wol.

1%

icon for Papież Leon XIV

Papież Leon XIV

$820,191 Wol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$639,422 Wol.

<1%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,435,895 Wol.

<1%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$856,988 Wol.

<1%

icon for Reporters Without Borders

Reporters Without Borders

$1,618 Wol.

<1%

icon for UNHCR

UNHCR

$1,887 Wol.

<1%

icon for Hussam Abu Safiya

Hussam Abu Safiya

$2,698 Wol.

<1%

icon for Sara Al-Saqqa

Sara Al-Saqqa

$2,367 Wol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$1,193,653 Wol.

<1%

icon for Władimir Putin

Władimir Putin

$922,247 Wol.

<1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$880,512 Wol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanjahu

Benjamin Netanjahu

$705,328 Wol.

<1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,067,244 Wol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$1,278,655 Wol.

<1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,192,642 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With 287 nominations already submitted and the October 9 announcement approaching, trader sentiment on the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize reflects a wide-open field where no single individual or organization holds decisive momentum. Yulia Navalnaya’s modest lead stems from her sustained visibility as a Russian opposition leader following her husband’s death and recent human-rights recognitions, while organizations like Save the Children, the ICJ, Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms, and UNRWA trade close behind due to their documented humanitarian impact. Public nominations for figures like Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Donald Trump have fueled discussion but face skepticism amid ongoing global tensions, leaving market-implied odds fragmented and sensitive to any late precursor signals or committee priorities.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Wolumen
$23,863,438
Data zakończenia
Oct 10, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With 287 nominations already submitted and the October 9 announcement approaching, trader sentiment on the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize reflects a wide-open field where no single individual or organization holds decisive momentum. Yulia Navalnaya’s modest lead stems from her sustained visibility as a Russian opposition leader following her husband’s death and recent human-rights recognitions, while organizations like Save the Children, the ICJ, Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms, and UNRWA trade close behind due to their documented humanitarian impact. Public nominations for figures like Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Donald Trump have fueled discussion but face skepticism amid ongoing global tensions, leaving market-implied odds fragmented and sensitive to any late precursor signals or committee priorities.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Wolumen
$23,863,438
Data zakończenia
Oct 10, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x2F5e3684c...

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6%
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Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP?

12%

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Często zadawane pytania

"Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 31 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Julia Nawalna" z 8%, za nim "Save the Children" z 5%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 8¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 8% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" wygenerował $23.9 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Oct 16, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026", przeglądaj 31 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

To szeroko otwarty rynek. Obecnym liderem dla "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" jest "Julia Nawalna" z zaledwie 8%, a za nim "Save the Children" z 5%. Brak wyniku z wyraźną większością — traderzy widzą to jako wysoce niepewne, co może stwarzać unikalne okazje handlowe. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, więc dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby obserwować ewolucję prawdopodobieństw.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.