With the 2027 Oscars race still in its early stages, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Original Screenplay field where Wild Horse Nine sits narrowly ahead of The Debut and other contenders. Martin McDonagh’s November release benefits from the writer-director’s proven awards track record and a high-profile ensemble, while Jesse Eisenberg’s The Debut and films like Fjord and Club Kid draw support from festival buzz and timely personal stories. Most projects remain months from wide release or reviews, so current implied probabilities hinge more on filmmaker reputation and studio campaigns than finished critical reception. Key swing factors include upcoming festival screenings, WGA nominations, and guild precursors that historically shape academy voter sentiment in this category.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 44%
The Debut 27.4%
Fjord 12.4%
Obsession 8%
$39,701 Wol.
$39,701 Wol.
Wild Horse Nine
44%
The Debut
27%
Fjord
12%
Obsession
8%
Elsinore
7%
Digger
6%
The Drama
4%
The Invite
3%
Josephine
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
The Odyssey
3%
Club Kid
1%
The Black Ball
1%
A Place in Hell
1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
1%
Forgotten Island
1%
Fatherland
<1%
Wild Horse Nine 44%
The Debut 27.4%
Fjord 12.4%
Obsession 8%
$39,701 Wol.
$39,701 Wol.
Wild Horse Nine
44%
The Debut
27%
Fjord
12%
Obsession
8%
Elsinore
7%
Digger
6%
The Drama
4%
The Invite
3%
Josephine
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
The Odyssey
3%
Club Kid
1%
The Black Ball
1%
A Place in Hell
1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
1%
Forgotten Island
1%
Fatherland
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...With the 2027 Oscars race still in its early stages, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Original Screenplay field where Wild Horse Nine sits narrowly ahead of The Debut and other contenders. Martin McDonagh’s November release benefits from the writer-director’s proven awards track record and a high-profile ensemble, while Jesse Eisenberg’s The Debut and films like Fjord and Club Kid draw support from festival buzz and timely personal stories. Most projects remain months from wide release or reviews, so current implied probabilities hinge more on filmmaker reputation and studio campaigns than finished critical reception. Key swing factors include upcoming festival screenings, WGA nominations, and guild precursors that historically shape academy voter sentiment in this category.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania