The early stage of the 2026 awards cycle drives the fragmented trader consensus for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor race, with no single frontrunner emerging from the current field. John Malkovich and Matt Damon sit atop the market-implied odds in a near tie, reflecting modest positioning from anticipated projects rather than dominant precursor momentum. Andrew Scott and Tom Cruise follow at lower levels, while the long tail of contenders signals broad uncertainty ahead of fall festival premieres and guild nominations. Historical patterns show that early speculation often shifts sharply once critics' groups and awards bodies like SAG-AFTRA weigh in, underscoring how critical reception, box office trajectories, and late-year releases can rapidly reshape voter sentiment in this unpredictable category.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
John Malkovich 28.7%
Matt Damon 27%
Andrew Scott 18%
Tom Cruise 14%
$117,170 Wol.
$117,170 Wol.
Mar 14, 2027
John Malkovich
29%
Matt Damon
27%
Andrew Scott
18%
Tom Cruise
14%
Robert Pattinson
9%
Jeremy Strong
4%
Sebastian Stan
2%
Ryan Gosling
2%
Javier Bardem
1%
Jaafar Jackson
1%
Timothée Chalamet
1%
Sam Rockwell
1%
Pedro Pascal
<1%
Adam Driver
<1%
Brad Pitt
<1%
Robert Aramayo
<1%
John Turturro
<1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
John Malkovich 28.7%
Matt Damon 27%
Andrew Scott 18%
Tom Cruise 14%
$117,170 Wol.
$117,170 Wol.
Mar 14, 2027
John Malkovich
$8,546 Wol.
29%
Matt Damon
$34,097 Wol.
27%
Andrew Scott
$12,225 Wol.
18%
Tom Cruise
$11,178 Wol.
14%
Robert Pattinson
$4,364 Wol.
9%
Jeremy Strong
$4,039 Wol.
4%
Sebastian Stan
$2,765 Wol.
2%
Ryan Gosling
$4,778 Wol.
2%
Javier Bardem
$2,900 Wol.
1%
Jaafar Jackson
$4,211 Wol.
1%
Timothée Chalamet
$3,693 Wol.
1%
Sam Rockwell
$4,572 Wol.
1%
Pedro Pascal
$3,076 Wol.
<1%
Adam Driver
$2,373 Wol.
<1%
Brad Pitt
$8,112 Wol.
<1%
Robert Aramayo
$3,115 Wol.
<1%
John Turturro
$1,587 Wol.
<1%
Josh O'Connor
$1,537 Wol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early stage of the 2026 awards cycle drives the fragmented trader consensus for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor race, with no single frontrunner emerging from the current field. John Malkovich and Matt Damon sit atop the market-implied odds in a near tie, reflecting modest positioning from anticipated projects rather than dominant precursor momentum. Andrew Scott and Tom Cruise follow at lower levels, while the long tail of contenders signals broad uncertainty ahead of fall festival premieres and guild nominations. Historical patterns show that early speculation often shifts sharply once critics' groups and awards bodies like SAG-AFTRA weigh in, underscoring how critical reception, box office trajectories, and late-year releases can rapidly reshape voter sentiment in this unpredictable category.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$117,170Data zakończenia
Mar 14, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early stage of the 2026 awards cycle drives the fragmented trader consensus for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor race, with no single frontrunner emerging from the current field. John Malkovich and Matt Damon sit atop the market-implied odds in a near tie, reflecting modest positioning from anticipated projects rather than dominant precursor momentum. Andrew Scott and Tom Cruise follow at lower levels, while the long tail of contenders signals broad uncertainty ahead of fall festival premieres and guild nominations. Historical patterns show that early speculation often shifts sharply once critics' groups and awards bodies like SAG-AFTRA weigh in, underscoring how critical reception, box office trajectories, and late-year releases can rapidly reshape voter sentiment in this unpredictable category.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$117,170Data zakończenia
Mar 14, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The early stage of the 2026 awards cycle drives the fragmented trader consensus for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor race, with no single frontrunner emerging from the current field. John Malkovich and Matt Damon sit atop the market-implied odds in a near tie, reflecting modest positioning from anticipated projects rather than dominant precursor momentum. Andrew Scott and Tom Cruise follow at lower levels, while the long tail of contenders signals broad uncertainty ahead of fall festival premieres and guild nominations. Historical patterns show that early speculation often shifts sharply once critics' groups and awards bodies like SAG-AFTRA weigh in, underscoring how critical reception, box office trajectories, and late-year releases can rapidly reshape voter sentiment in this unpredictable category.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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