Iranian officials and parliamentarians advanced draft legislation to exit the NPT after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in early 2026, invoking Article X amid heightened tensions, yet no formal notification has reached the UN. As of mid-August 2026, senior diplomats have kept withdrawal off the immediate agenda while signaling that conditions for deeper U.S.-mediated talks remain absent following a June memorandum of understanding. Iran has suspended some IAEA cooperation but continues limited engagement and diplomatic activity. Traders cite this pattern of threats without completed action, the brief window remaining before 2027, and ongoing negotiations as the primary drivers behind the strong consensus against near-term withdrawal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
15% szansa
$368,407 Wol.
$368,407 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
15% szansa
$368,407 Wol.
$368,407 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials and parliamentarians advanced draft legislation to exit the NPT after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in early 2026, invoking Article X amid heightened tensions, yet no formal notification has reached the UN. As of mid-August 2026, senior diplomats have kept withdrawal off the immediate agenda while signaling that conditions for deeper U.S.-mediated talks remain absent following a June memorandum of understanding. Iran has suspended some IAEA cooperation but continues limited engagement and diplomatic activity. Traders cite this pattern of threats without completed action, the brief window remaining before 2027, and ongoing negotiations as the primary drivers behind the strong consensus against near-term withdrawal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$368,407Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials and parliamentarians advanced draft legislation to exit the NPT after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in early 2026, invoking Article X amid heightened tensions, yet no formal notification has reached the UN. As of mid-August 2026, senior diplomats have kept withdrawal off the immediate agenda while signaling that conditions for deeper U.S.-mediated talks remain absent following a June memorandum of understanding. Iran has suspended some IAEA cooperation but continues limited engagement and diplomatic activity. Traders cite this pattern of threats without completed action, the brief window remaining before 2027, and ongoing negotiations as the primary drivers behind the strong consensus against near-term withdrawal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$368,407Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian officials and parliamentarians advanced draft legislation to exit the NPT after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in early 2026, invoking Article X amid heightened tensions, yet no formal notification has reached the UN. As of mid-August 2026, senior diplomats have kept withdrawal off the immediate agenda while signaling that conditions for deeper U.S.-mediated talks remain absent following a June memorandum of understanding. Iran has suspended some IAEA cooperation but continues limited engagement and diplomatic activity. Traders cite this pattern of threats without completed action, the brief window remaining before 2027, and ongoing negotiations as the primary drivers behind the strong consensus against near-term withdrawal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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