In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus on Polymarket mirrors a fragmented nonpartisan top-four primary, propelled by a late March Alaska Survey Research poll showing Democrat Tom Begich at 19% and Republican Bernadette Wilson at 14% for advancement spots, amid a crowded field of over 16 candidates. Incumbent Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limits and underwater approval ratings boost challengers, while the state's independent voters and ranked-choice general election keep odds tight, with Wilson implied at 30% trader probability edging Begich's 26%. Recent Mat-Su candidate forums exposed divides on resource development and fiscal policy; GOP vote consolidation, fundraising surges, or debate standouts before the June 1 filing deadline and August 18 primary could widen gaps for contenders like Treg Taylor or Nancy Dahlstrom.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZwycięzca wyborów gubernatora Alaski
Zwycięzca wyborów gubernatora Alaski
Bernadette Wilson 30%
Tom Begich 26%
Treg Taylor 12.3%
Nancy Dahlstrom 11.6%
$826,966 Wol.
$826,966 Wol.
Bernadette Wilson
30%
Tom Begich
26%
Treg Taylor
12%
Nancy Dahlstrom
12%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%
David Bronson
3%
Click Bishop
3%
Matt Claman
2%
Adam Crum
1%
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
Mary Peltola
<1%
Edna DeVries
<1%
Shelley Hughes
<1%
Hank Kroll
<1%
Matt Heilala
<1%
James Parkin
<1%
Bruce Walden
<1%
Bernadette Wilson 30%
Tom Begich 26%
Treg Taylor 12.3%
Nancy Dahlstrom 11.6%
$826,966 Wol.
$826,966 Wol.
Bernadette Wilson
30%
Tom Begich
26%
Treg Taylor
12%
Nancy Dahlstrom
12%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%
David Bronson
3%
Click Bishop
3%
Matt Claman
2%
Adam Crum
1%
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
Mary Peltola
<1%
Edna DeVries
<1%
Shelley Hughes
<1%
Hank Kroll
<1%
Matt Heilala
<1%
James Parkin
<1%
Bruce Walden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus on Polymarket mirrors a fragmented nonpartisan top-four primary, propelled by a late March Alaska Survey Research poll showing Democrat Tom Begich at 19% and Republican Bernadette Wilson at 14% for advancement spots, amid a crowded field of over 16 candidates. Incumbent Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limits and underwater approval ratings boost challengers, while the state's independent voters and ranked-choice general election keep odds tight, with Wilson implied at 30% trader probability edging Begich's 26%. Recent Mat-Su candidate forums exposed divides on resource development and fiscal policy; GOP vote consolidation, fundraising surges, or debate standouts before the June 1 filing deadline and August 18 primary could widen gaps for contenders like Treg Taylor or Nancy Dahlstrom.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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