The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the NJ-12 race stems from the district's longstanding partisan composition, reflected in its strong Democratic lean and consistent performance in recent cycles. The June 2 primary produced Adam Hamawy as the nominee after a crowded field, succeeding retiring incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman in a contest rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Republican nominee Gregg Mele faces structural headwinds in a central New Jersey district anchored by Democratic-leaning suburbs and urban centers. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals while assigning low odds to an upset. A late scandal, health issue, or sharp national midterm swing could still narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in districts with this profile.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNJ-12 House Election Winner
NJ-12 House Election Winner
$16,918 Wol.
$16,918 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$16,918 Wol.
$16,918 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,847 Wol.
93%
Republican Party
$5,071 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the NJ-12 race stems from the district's longstanding partisan composition, reflected in its strong Democratic lean and consistent performance in recent cycles. The June 2 primary produced Adam Hamawy as the nominee after a crowded field, succeeding retiring incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman in a contest rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Republican nominee Gregg Mele faces structural headwinds in a central New Jersey district anchored by Democratic-leaning suburbs and urban centers. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals while assigning low odds to an upset. A late scandal, health issue, or sharp national midterm swing could still narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in districts with this profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,918Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the NJ-12 race stems from the district's longstanding partisan composition, reflected in its strong Democratic lean and consistent performance in recent cycles. The June 2 primary produced Adam Hamawy as the nominee after a crowded field, succeeding retiring incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman in a contest rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Republican nominee Gregg Mele faces structural headwinds in a central New Jersey district anchored by Democratic-leaning suburbs and urban centers. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals while assigning low odds to an upset. A late scandal, health issue, or sharp national midterm swing could still narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in districts with this profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$16,918Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the NJ-12 race stems from the district's longstanding partisan composition, reflected in its strong Democratic lean and consistent performance in recent cycles. The June 2 primary produced Adam Hamawy as the nominee after a crowded field, succeeding retiring incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman in a contest rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Republican nominee Gregg Mele faces structural headwinds in a central New Jersey district anchored by Democratic-leaning suburbs and urban centers. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals while assigning low odds to an upset. A late scandal, health issue, or sharp national midterm swing could still narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in districts with this profile.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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