The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats to the incumbent People's Party (PP) in the 109-seat parliament—two short of the absolute majority threshold—despite pre-vote polling that had positioned the party for a possible outright win. This five-seat decline from the 2022 result, amid record turnout, left PP reliant on negotiations with Vox for governance while the Socialists (PSOE) recorded their weakest performance in the region in decades. These confirmed seat totals and the absence of any subsequent recount or legal challenge underpin traders' strong consensus against an absolute majority outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$27,608 Wol.
$27,608 Wol.
May 17, 2026
$27,608 Wol.
$27,608 Wol.
May 17, 2026
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats to the incumbent People's Party (PP) in the 109-seat parliament—two short of the absolute majority threshold—despite pre-vote polling that had positioned the party for a possible outright win. This five-seat decline from the 2022 result, amid record turnout, left PP reliant on negotiations with Vox for governance while the Socialists (PSOE) recorded their weakest performance in the region in decades. These confirmed seat totals and the absence of any subsequent recount or legal challenge underpin traders' strong consensus against an absolute majority outcome.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,608Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats to the incumbent People's Party (PP) in the 109-seat parliament—two short of the absolute majority threshold—despite pre-vote polling that had positioned the party for a possible outright win. This five-seat decline from the 2022 result, amid record turnout, left PP reliant on negotiations with Vox for governance while the Socialists (PSOE) recorded their weakest performance in the region in decades. These confirmed seat totals and the absence of any subsequent recount or legal challenge underpin traders' strong consensus against an absolute majority outcome.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Wolumen
$27,608Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats to the incumbent People's Party (PP) in the 109-seat parliament—two short of the absolute majority threshold—despite pre-vote polling that had positioned the party for a possible outright win. This five-seat decline from the 2022 result, amid record turnout, left PP reliant on negotiations with Vox for governance while the Socialists (PSOE) recorded their weakest performance in the region in decades. These confirmed seat totals and the absence of any subsequent recount or legal challenge underpin traders' strong consensus against an absolute majority outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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