**Trader consensus reflects a fiercely competitive Hackney mayoral race under the supplementary vote system, with no candidate exceeding 28% implied probability amid five contenders.** Incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley faces a strong challenge from Green Party's Zoë Garbett, buoyed by a mid-April JL Partners MRP poll showing Greens at 40% vote intention borough-wide—up 17 points from 2022—versus Labour's 33% drop, signaling voter shifts on housing, environment, and council performance. Liberal Democrat Eva Steinhardt, Reform UK's Vahid Almasi, and Conservative Tareke Gregg split remaining support at 11%, 8%, and 5%, respectively, per the poll, heightening fragmentation risks. With the 7 May election three weeks away, hustings, turnout in progressive wards, and second-preference flows could tip the balance, as Hackney's Labour stronghold faces its tightest mayoral contest in decades.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZoë Garbett 28%
Eva Steinhardt 27%
Vahid Almasi 27%
Caroline Woodley 27%
Zoë Garbett
28%
Eva Steinhardt
27%
Vahid Almasi
27%
Caroline Woodley
27%
Tareke Gregg
26%
Zoë Garbett 28%
Eva Steinhardt 27%
Vahid Almasi 27%
Caroline Woodley 27%
Zoë Garbett
28%
Eva Steinhardt
27%
Vahid Almasi
27%
Caroline Woodley
27%
Tareke Gregg
26%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus reflects a fiercely competitive Hackney mayoral race under the supplementary vote system, with no candidate exceeding 28% implied probability amid five contenders.** Incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley faces a strong challenge from Green Party's Zoë Garbett, buoyed by a mid-April JL Partners MRP poll showing Greens at 40% vote intention borough-wide—up 17 points from 2022—versus Labour's 33% drop, signaling voter shifts on housing, environment, and council performance. Liberal Democrat Eva Steinhardt, Reform UK's Vahid Almasi, and Conservative Tareke Gregg split remaining support at 11%, 8%, and 5%, respectively, per the poll, heightening fragmentation risks. With the 7 May election three weeks away, hustings, turnout in progressive wards, and second-preference flows could tip the balance, as Hackney's Labour stronghold faces its tightest mayoral contest in decades.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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