A fragile two-week ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran, brokered April 8 and extended multiple times through April 23, remains in effect as President Trump awaits Tehran's unified proposal amid stalled talks in Pakistan. Tensions persist with US naval blockade and seizures in the Strait of Hormuz, countered by Iran's April 22 attacks on three ships, while an Israel-Lebanon truce was prolonged by three weeks. No major airstrikes or missile barrages have occurred since early April, but both sides prepare for potential resumption if diplomacy fails. Traders monitor upcoming proposal deadlines and negotiation outcomes, which could signal de-escalation or renewed escalation in this protracted conflict.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIran x konflikt izraelsko-amerykański kończy się…?
Iran x konflikt izraelsko-amerykański kończy się…?
$100,611,327 Wol.
Mar 31, 2026
7 marca
Nie
15 marca
Nie
31 marca
Nie
7 kwietnia
Tak
15 kwietnia
Tak
30 kwietnia
Tak
15 maja
Tak
30 czerwca
Tak
31 grudnia
Tak
$100,611,327 Wol.
7 marca
$0 Wol.
Nie
15 marca
$0 Wol.
Nie
31 marca
$5,162,925 Wol.
Nie
7 kwietnia
$48,720,376 Wol.
Tak
15 kwietnia
$17,450,416 Wol.
Tak
30 kwietnia
$5,780,137 Wol.
Tak
15 maja
$13,670,502 Wol.
Tak
30 czerwca
$5,872,192 Wol.
Tak
31 grudnia
$3,954,778 Wol.
Tak
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.A fragile two-week ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran, brokered April 8 and extended multiple times through April 23, remains in effect as President Trump awaits Tehran's unified proposal amid stalled talks in Pakistan. Tensions persist with US naval blockade and seizures in the Strait of Hormuz, countered by Iran's April 22 attacks on three ships, while an Israel-Lebanon truce was prolonged by three weeks. No major airstrikes or missile barrages have occurred since early April, but both sides prepare for potential resumption if diplomacy fails. Traders monitor upcoming proposal deadlines and negotiation outcomes, which could signal de-escalation or renewed escalation in this protracted conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 28, 2026, 9:37 AM ET
Wolumen
$100,611,327Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 28, 2026, 9:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: Nie
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Nie
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.A fragile two-week ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran, brokered April 8 and extended multiple times through April 23, remains in effect as President Trump awaits Tehran's unified proposal amid stalled talks in Pakistan. Tensions persist with US naval blockade and seizures in the Strait of Hormuz, countered by Iran's April 22 attacks on three ships, while an Israel-Lebanon truce was prolonged by three weeks. No major airstrikes or missile barrages have occurred since early April, but both sides prepare for potential resumption if diplomacy fails. Traders monitor upcoming proposal deadlines and negotiation outcomes, which could signal de-escalation or renewed escalation in this protracted conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
Wolumen
$100,611,327Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 28, 2026, 9:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: Nie
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Nie
A fragile two-week ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran, brokered April 8 and extended multiple times through April 23, remains in effect as President Trump awaits Tehran's unified proposal amid stalled talks in Pakistan. Tensions persist with US naval blockade and seizures in the Strait of Hormuz, countered by Iran's April 22 attacks on three ships, while an Israel-Lebanon truce was prolonged by three weeks. No major airstrikes or missile barrages have occurred since early April, but both sides prepare for potential resumption if diplomacy fails. Traders monitor upcoming proposal deadlines and negotiation outcomes, which could signal de-escalation or renewed escalation in this protracted conflict.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania