Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including US strikes on IRGC targets and Iranian missile responses in the Strait of Hormuz region in early September 2026, have sustained military engagement without a formal congressional declaration of war. The Constitution assigns war declaration authority to Congress, and lawmakers have pursued War Powers resolutions to limit unauthorized actions while the administration frames operations as responses to shipping threats and nuclear concerns. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding paused large-scale fighting temporarily, but renewed exchanges have followed, with President Trump linking de-escalation to post-midterm outcomes. Trader consensus reflects low implied probability of an official declaration, given historical patterns of limited authorizations and institutional checks, though escalation or congressional votes could shift dynamics before November 2026 midterms.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCzy Stany Zjednoczone oficjalnie wypowiedzą wojnę Iranowi do...?
Czy Stany Zjednoczone oficjalnie wypowiedzą wojnę Iranowi do...?
$7,815,666 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 grudnia
2%
$7,815,666 Wol.
31 grudnia
$843,032 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including US strikes on IRGC targets and Iranian missile responses in the Strait of Hormuz region in early September 2026, have sustained military engagement without a formal congressional declaration of war. The Constitution assigns war declaration authority to Congress, and lawmakers have pursued War Powers resolutions to limit unauthorized actions while the administration frames operations as responses to shipping threats and nuclear concerns. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding paused large-scale fighting temporarily, but renewed exchanges have followed, with President Trump linking de-escalation to post-midterm outcomes. Trader consensus reflects low implied probability of an official declaration, given historical patterns of limited authorizations and institutional checks, though escalation or congressional votes could shift dynamics before November 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,815,666Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including US strikes on IRGC targets and Iranian missile responses in the Strait of Hormuz region in early September 2026, have sustained military engagement without a formal congressional declaration of war. The Constitution assigns war declaration authority to Congress, and lawmakers have pursued War Powers resolutions to limit unauthorized actions while the administration frames operations as responses to shipping threats and nuclear concerns. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding paused large-scale fighting temporarily, but renewed exchanges have followed, with President Trump linking de-escalation to post-midterm outcomes. Trader consensus reflects low implied probability of an official declaration, given historical patterns of limited authorizations and institutional checks, though escalation or congressional votes could shift dynamics before November 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$7,815,666Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including US strikes on IRGC targets and Iranian missile responses in the Strait of Hormuz region in early September 2026, have sustained military engagement without a formal congressional declaration of war. The Constitution assigns war declaration authority to Congress, and lawmakers have pursued War Powers resolutions to limit unauthorized actions while the administration frames operations as responses to shipping threats and nuclear concerns. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding paused large-scale fighting temporarily, but renewed exchanges have followed, with President Trump linking de-escalation to post-midterm outcomes. Trader consensus reflects low implied probability of an official declaration, given historical patterns of limited authorizations and institutional checks, though escalation or congressional votes could shift dynamics before November 2026 midterms.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania